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Population, income and ecological conditions as determinants of forest area variation in the tropics
Authors:Jussi Uusivuori   Erkki Lehto  Matti Palo
Affiliation:1. Institute for Biosecurity, College for Public Health & Social Justice, Saint Louis University, St Louis, MO;2. Department of Epidemiology, College for Public Health & Social Justice, Saint Louis University, St Louis, MO;3. Department of Biostatistics, College for Public Health & Social Justice, Saint Louis University, St Louis, MO;1. Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), Mexico City, Mexico;2. Centro de Investigación en Ciencias de Información Geoespacial, (CENTROGEO), Contoy 137, Col. Lomas de Padierna, Mexico DF, Apdo Postal 14240, Mexico;3. Centro Transdisciplinar Universitario para la Sustentabilidad, Universidad Iberoamericana, Mexico City, Mexico;4. Agencia de Seguridad, Energía y Medio Ambiente, Mexico City, Mexico;1. Laboratory of Plant Biology and Ecology, University Joseph KI-ZERBO, 03 Po Box 7021 Ouagadougou 03, Burkina Faso;2. Training and Research Unit in Applied Science and Technology, University of Dédougou, Dédougou, Burkina Faso;3. Department of Life and Earth Sciences, Institute of Sciences (IDS), Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, 01 Po Box 1757 Ouagadougou 01, Burkina Faso
Abstract:The underlying causes of forest area variation were studied by using data from the original forest assessments between 1970 and 1991 of FAO FORIS database representing 477 subnational geographical units in 67 tropical countries. Multiple regression modelling was applied to measure the effects. Five ecological variables were used to control the varying ecological conditions in the subnational units. Three variables were used to control the varying reliability of forest inventory data. Population and income variables were found to be significant factors explaining forest area variation after controlling for ecological variation. In particular population density and income per capita turned out to be significant underlying factors of deforestation. The overall conclusion is that determining the factors behind forest area variation helps explaining the causes of deforestation.
Keywords:Deforestation   Ecological zone   Forest area   Income   Population   Tropics
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