| 远洋运输系统人因可靠性定量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 谭振东,余建星.远洋运输系统人因可靠性定量分析[J].海洋技术,2005,24(3):101-104. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谭振东 余建星 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学建筑工程学院,天津,300072 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目（59979018）;教育部博士点基金资助项目（20030056045） |
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| 摘 要： | 远洋运输中可能发生的灾害性事故,如船舶碰撞、搁浅、腐蚀疲劳破坏、火灾、爆炸等,大多与人为失误和组织失误（HOE）有关.因此,进行远洋运输系统人因可靠性定量分析,对于运输系统的安全非常重要.针对此问题,文章结合操作风险管理（ORM）技术,对远洋运输系统进行人因可靠性定量分析.为远洋船舶提供了一套预测人为误操作的分析方法,可以降低HOE风险的发生概率,以减小事故的发生.
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| 关 键 词： | 人为和组织失误 人因可靠性分析 操作风险管理 定量分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-2029（2005）03-0101-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-04-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年4月20日 |
Quantitative Analysis of Human Reliability in Ocean Shipping System |
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| TAN Zhen-dong,YU Jian-xing.Quantitative Analysis of Human Reliability in Ocean Shipping System[J].Ocean Technology,2005,24(3):101-104. |
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| Authors: | TAN Zhen-dong YU Jian-xing |
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| Institution: | School of Civil Engineering , Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China |
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| Abstract: | During ocean shipping, most accidents, for example, collision and grounding, corrosion and fatigue failure, fire and explosion, are caused by Human and Organization Errors (HOE). So it is important to carry out researches on the human reliability of ocean shipping system. In this paper, in order to analyze this problem, quantitative analysis of human reliability is to be carried out in ocean shipping. A method of analysis on human operation error is put forward. The application of HRA to ocean shipping can make risk probability diminish and can reduce the loss. |
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| Keywords: | human and organization Error human reliability analysis operation risk management quantitative analysis |
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