An integrated system for forecasting Arno River flash floods |
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Authors: | A Carrara P Frontero D Maio S Rizzi |
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Institution: | (1) CNR-CIOC, University of Bologna, Viale Risorgimento 2, 40136 Bologna, Italy;(2) Geophysical Observatory, University of Modena, Via Campi 213/A, 41100 Modena, Italy |
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Abstract: | A system for effectively forecasting flash floods of the Arno River (Tuscany, Italy) should provide a flood warning with 10–12 h of lead time, primarily in order to evacuate the city of Florence. This goal may be achieved by acquiring and processing meteorological and hydrological data in real-time and, accordingly, by releasing alarms at different levels of reliability and concern. Through the application of both procedural language and expert system techniques, a prototype was developed which can readily handle a variety of relevant information and make predictions on flood hazard in Florence. The system was fairly successfully tested by processing simple meteorological data which enable a 24 hour forewarning to be released. |
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Keywords: | Flood hazard risk forecasting expert systems |
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