| 一年尺度地震预测效果与问题的研究——以甘肃年度地震重点危险区预测为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 石特临.一年尺度地震预测效果与问题的研究——以甘肃年度地震重点危险区预测为例[J].西北地震学报,2001,23(4):370-376,394. |
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| 作者姓名： | 石特临 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地震局兰州地震研究所, |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了1976年以来甘肃省年度地震重点危险区预测情报及效果，探讨了与此有关的问题，认为：（1）19．4％的对应率反了目前甘肃1年尺度地震预测的真实状况；（2）提高预测水平的关键是对某一地区地震活动状态与前兆变人绵学玫研究和比较符合实际的认识。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震预测 一年尺度 重点危险区 甘肃 地震前兆 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-0844(2001)04-0370-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 2001/10/12 0:00:00 |
A STUDY ON EFFECT AND QUESTIONS OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN ONE-YEAR-SCALE-AN EXAMPLE OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION ON EMPHATIC DANGER ZONE IN GANSU |
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| SHI Te-lin.A STUDY ON EFFECT AND QUESTIONS OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN ONE-YEAR-SCALE-AN EXAMPLE OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION ON EMPHATIC DANGER ZONE IN GANSU[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,2001,23(4):370-376,394. |
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| Authors: | SHI Te-lin |
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| Institution: | Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CSB, Lanzhou 730000, China |
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| Abstract: | The status and effect of the earthquake prediction in one year scale on the emphatic danger zone in Gansu province from 1976 have been analysed. The concerned questions have been discussed. It can be concluded: (1) The corresponding percentage of 19.4 percent indicates the real states of the earthquake prediction in one year scale in Gansu. (2) The key to improve the level of the earthquake prediction is that the states of regional seismic activity and precursors variety should be researched and understood further. |
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| Keywords: | Earthquake prediction One year scale Emphatic danger zone Effect |
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