| 基于AHP法和灰色模式识别理论的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐慧 肖楠 郭振邦 王金英. 基于AHP法和灰色模式识别理论的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估[J]. 海洋工程, 2005, 23(4): 105-110 |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐慧 肖楠 郭振邦 王金英 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 天津大学,建筑工程学院,天津,300072
2. 海洋石油工程股份有限公司,天津,300452 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点资助项目（50039010） |
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| 摘 要： | 根据海底管道路由潜在风险的特点及风险类型,提出了一种将层次分析法（AHP法）和灰色模式识别理论相结合的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估方法,该方法利用AHP确定风险评价指标体系,运用灰色模式识别理论,建立识别结果标准,并结合实际工程进行计算,计算结果表明该方法是可行的.
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| 关 键 词： | 层次分析法 灰色模式识别理论 海底管道路由定量风险 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-9865（2005）04-0105-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-10-21 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-10-21 |
Quantitative analysis of submarine pipeline routing risk based on AHP and grey-mode identification theory |
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| XU Hui,XIAO Nan,GUO Zhen-bang,WANG Jin-ying. Quantitative analysis of submarine pipeline routing risk based on AHP and grey-mode identification theory[J]. The Ocean Engineering, 2005, 23(4): 105-110 |
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| Authors: | XU Hui XIAO Nan GUO Zhen-bang WANG Jin-ying |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Civil Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China; 2. Marine Oil Engineering Incorporated Company, Tianjin 300452, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, according to the fuzzy and indeterminate characteristics of the influencing factors, a new method for the quantitative analysis submarine pipeline routing risk is presented, basedon AHP theory and grey-mode identification theory. The guideline system for quan- titative routing risk evaluation and the evaluation standard based on grey-mode identification theory are also established. An example makes it clear that this model can concisely and directly reflect the hazard degree of the routing system. |
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| Keywords: | Analytic Hierarchy Process grey-mode identification theory quantitative analysis of submarine pipeline route risk |
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