Intra-Seasonal Oscillation (ISO) of south Kerala rainfall during the summer monsoons of 1901–1995 |
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Authors: | P V Joseph Anu Simon Venu G Nair Aype Thomas |
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Institution: | (1) Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Fine Arts Avenue, 682 016 Cochin, India |
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Abstract: | Time series of daily averaged rainfall of about 40 rain gauge stations of south Kerala, situated at the southern-most part
of peninsular India between latitudes about 8‡N and 10‡N were subjected to Wavelet Analysis to study the Intra Seasonal Oscillation
(ISO) in the rainfall and its inter-annual variability. Of the 128 days, 29th May to 3rd October of each of the 95 years 1901-1995
were analysed. We find that the period of ISO does not vary during a monsoon season in most of the years, but it has large
inter-annual variability in the range 23 to 64 days. Period-wise, the years cluster into two groups of ISO, the SHORT consisting
of periods 23, 27 and 32 days and the LONG with a single period of 64 days, both the sets at a significance level of 99%.
During the 95 years at this level of significance there are 44 years with SHORT and 20 years with LONG periods. 11 years have
no ISO even at the 90% level of significance.
We composited NCEP SST anomalies of the summer monsoon season June to September for two groups of years during the period
1965–1993. The first group is of 5 years with a LONG ISO period of 64 days for south Kerala rainfall at significance level
of 99% and the second group is of 12 years with SHORT ISO periods of 23, 27 and 32 days at the same level of significance.
The SST anomaly for the LONG (SHORT) ISO resembles that for an El Nino (La Nina). |
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Keywords: | Intra Seasonal Oscillation (ISO) El Nino and La Nina SST anomalies DRY and WET monsoons SHORT and LONG period ISO wavelet analysis |
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