福建仙游震群的孔隙压扩散特征

2010年8月至2015年12月，福建仙游地区发生了一系列小震群活动。基于孔隙压力扩散机制对精定位的小震数据进行分析，结果显示仙游震群序列在空间上呈丛集分布，且具有明显的分区现象，发震时间受金钟水库水位变化的调制作用较为明显。5个分区（A—E）的流体孔隙压力扩散系数分别为0.04，0.08，0.07，0.12和0.05 m2/s，伴随着地震活动性由强至弱，孔隙压扩散系数呈先增后减的变化规律。仙游震群位于断裂构造发育区内，震中分布优势方向与石苍断裂一致，沿着断裂走向的孔隙压扩散系数最大，说明地下流体沿狭长的石苍断裂由NW向NE活动。各分区的流体孔隙压系数与扩散最大距离、最大诱发地震震级及地震释放能量均有较好的相关性。此外，当金钟水库水位下降时，各分区的扩散距离r呈现减小趋势，震群范围收缩，地震频次增加，并伴有较大震级的地震，说明水位下降时，流体孔隙压力的扩散作用在同一地点反复作用，使得触发源附近区域的应力水平更容易达到饱和或临界状态，进而触发较大震级的地震，这也解释了水位下降过程中地震更为强烈的原因。 

The pore pressure diffusion characteristics of Xianyou earthquake swarm in Fujian Province

From August 2010 to December 2015, a series of small earthquake swarms occurred in the Xianyou area of Fujian Province. Based on the pore pressure diffusion mecha-nism, the small earthquakes data of precise location is analyzed, and it is found that the Xianyou earthquake swarm sequences are cluster distributed in spatial terms and have obvious zoned phenomenon. The origin time is obviously influenced by the modulation effect of water level change in Jinzhong reservoir. The pore pressure diffusion coefficients of five subregions （A to E） were 0.04, 0.08, 0.07, 0.12 and 0.05 m2/s, and along with the seismicity intensity changing from strong to weak, the pore pressure diffusion coefficients changed from increasing to decreasing. The Xianyou earthquake swarm is located in the area where the fault structures developed, and the predominant direction of epicentral distribution is in accordance with the Shicang fault, and the pore pressure diffusion coefficient along the fault strike is the maximum, which shows that the active tendency of the underground fluid is along the Shicang fault from northwest to northeast. The fluid pore pressure coefficient in each subregion is closely related to the maximum diffusion distance, the maximum induced earthquake and the energy released by earthquakes. In addition, when the water level of Jinzhong reservoir falls, the distance from the first small earthquake （trigger source） to the triggered earthquake in the subregion has a decreasing trend, with the range of earthquake groups shrinking, and earthquake frequency and magnitude increasing. This could lead to the conclusion that, when the water level drops, fluid pore pressure diffusion acted repeatedly at the same site, which caused the stress level easier to reach the saturation or critical level in the area near the trigger source, and then triggered a larger earthquake, this is also a possible explanation for the occurrence of stronger earthquakes during the drawdown of water levels. This study will be of reference significance to the prediction of seismicity in Xianyou area in the future, and provide a scientific basis for quantitatively determining risk of reservoir induced seismicity.