Model of Probabilistic Prediction for Life Loss |
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Authors: | Jin Xueshen Liu Yunqing Hu Mingqing Liu Zhihui Nie Lei and Zhang FengzhiSeismological Bureau of Hebei Province Shijiazhuang China Jianghan University Wuhan China |
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Institution: | Jin Xueshen,Liu Yunqing,Hu Mingqing,Liu Zhihui,Nie Lei,and Zhang FengzhiSeismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China Jianghan University,Wuhan 430010,China |
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Abstract: | Based on discussion of the reasonableness of the seismic destruction described by using the death degree,the probabilistic curves of the different death degrees with different future times in several regions on the Chinese mainland have been obtained by applying the probabilistic model,which is in accord with present seismic destruction data and related data.The historical data of the life loss have been processed with the dynamic system model.Finally,the results from two kinds of data have been analyzed and discussed. |
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Keywords: | life loss probability prediction model |
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