中国区域创新能力与经济发展水平的耦合协调分析

采用协整检验和耦合协调模型方法,分析不同尺度区域创新能力与经济发展水平耦合协调状况的时空演化及差异规律。结果表明：① 中国区域创新能力与经济发展水平具有长期稳定而短期跳跃性,区域创新并不必然带来经济发展。② 2005~2014年间,两者动态的耦合协调程度具有尺度敏感性且在地级尺度上偏低,但正逐步改善,区域差异随尺度的缩小而增大。③ 耦合协调高值区在省级层面分布在北京、上海、广东等沿海省份,地级层面分布除沿海城市外,还有内陆省会城市及其周边城市,分布由分散逐渐集聚,宏观上已经形成“沿海-腹地”型大创新-经济合作区。

Coupling Coordination Between China's Regional Innovation Capability and Economic Development

The unidirectional driving relationship between regional innovation and economic development has attracted many scholars' attention, but their bidirectional coupling relationship has been neglected. By constructing the evaluation system of regional innovation capability and economic development level on the basis of their connotations, using the technologies of cointegration test and coupling coordination model, this paper analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and the difference regularity of the coupling coordination between regional innovation capability and the economic development level on different spatial scales. It shows that: 1) In the long run, there is a stable cointegration relationship between China's regional innovation capability and economic development level, while salutatory relationship in the short-term. Regional innovation cannot necessarily bring about economic development. There is a higher degree of coupling coordination between economic development and innovation ability to the regions with a perfect regional innovation system, that is, with heterogeneous innovation actors, efficient innovation networks and innovation environment, and China's innovation-driven strategy could play a greater role. However, it is found that, during the period of 2005-2014, the degrees of coupling coordination between the two is scale-sensitive and it is generally low on the municipal scale, although increased progressively over time. It is imperative to upgrade the equilibrium relationship between the two from low to high; 2) The regional differences of the degree of coupling coordination between the two increased with the reduction of the spatial scale, however, the differences are decreasing; 3) The high-value areas of the coupling coordination at the provincial level are Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Zhejiang and other South-East coastal areas in China with a scattered distribution. However, the high-value areas of the coupling coordination at the municipal level are more developed coastal cities, inland capital cities and their surrounding cities with a gathered distribution, preliminarily formed a national “coastal -hinterland” innovation-economic cooperation zone; 4) The key to China's innovation-driven strategy is to construct provincial and municipal innovation system, increase the innovation input, and promote the coupling docking and interaction feedback between the various links of government-industry-university-research cooperation.