| Research on TSIP method for medium－term earthquake prediction |
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| 引用本文： | 黄德瑜,朱元清,陈颙,季颖. Research on TSIP method for medium－term earthquake prediction[J]. 地震学报(英文版), 1995, 8(4): 501-510. DOI: 10.1007/BF02650517 |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄德瑜 朱元清 陈颙 季颖 |
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| 作者单位： | Yu HUANG;Yuan-Qing ZHU;Yong CHEN and Ying JI (Centre for Analysis and Prediction，State Seismological Bureau，Beijing 100036，China)(Seismological Bureau of Shanghai Municipality，Shanghai 200062，China)(State Seismological Bureau，Beijing 100036，China) |
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| 摘 要： | ＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｎＴＳＩＰｍｅｔｈｏｄｆｏｒｍｅｄｉｕｍ－ｔｅｒｍｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎＤｅ－ＹｕＨＵＡＮＧ（黄德瑜）；Ｙｕａｎ－ＱｉｎｇＺＨＵ（朱元清）；ＹｏｎｇＣＨＥＮ（陈颙）ａｎｄＹｉｎｇＪＩ（季颖）（ＣｅｎｔｒｅｆｏｒＡｎ...
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| 收稿时间： | 1994-07-13 |
| 修稿时间： | 1994-11-28 |
Research on TSIP method for medium-term earthquake prediction |
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| De-Yu Huang, Yuan-Qing Zhu, Yong Chen and Ying Ji. Research on TSIP method for medium-term earthquake prediction[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition), 1995, 8(4): 501-510. DOI: 10.1007/BF02650517 |
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| Authors: | De-Yu Huang Yuan-Qing Zhu Yong Chen Ying Ji |
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| Affiliation: | (1) Centre for Analysis and Prediction, State Seismological Bureau, 100036 Beijing, China;(2) Seismological Bureau of Shanghai Municipality, 200062 Shanghai, China;(3) State Seismological Bureau, 100036 Beijing, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces the space increased probability of strong earthquakes (SIP)-a new design based on the algorithm CN of time increased probability of strong earthquake (TIP). The authors have done a prediction research passing in review of eight strong earthquakes with M>6 in the last 20 years in East China. The result shows that six of the eight strong earthquakes were in the space-time domain of the time and space probability of strong earthquake (TSIP) prediction. The prediction accuracy is 75%, the space-time domain rate of the TSIP precaution is 5%, the diagnosed value of R is 0. 70. So the TSIP as a method of medium-term earthquake prediction has good practicality, efficiency and prospects of applying. |
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| Keywords: | medium-term prediction Algorithm TSIP seismicity |
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