Making local futures tangible—Synthesizing, downscaling, and visualizing climate change scenarios for participatory capacity building |
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Authors: | Alison Shaw Stephen Sheppard Sarah Burch David Flanders Arnim Wiek Jeff Carmichael John Robinson Stewart Cohen |
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Affiliation: | 1. Collaborative for Advanced Landscape Planning (CALP), University of British Columbia, 2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4 Canada;2. School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, PO Box 875502, Tempe, AZ 85287-5502, United States;3. Metro Vancouver, Policy and Planning Department, 4330 Kingsway, Burnaby, BC, V5H 4G8 Canada;4. Institute of Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, 2202 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4 Canada;5. Environment Canada and Forest Resources Management, University of British Columbia, 2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4 Canada |
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Abstract: | Local in its causes and global in its impacts, climate change still poses an unresolved challenge for scientists, politicians, entrepreneurs, and citizens. Climate change research is largely global in focus, aims at enhanced understanding, and is driven by experts, all of which seem to be insufficient to anchor climate change action in regional and local contexts. We present results from a participatory scenario study conducted in collaboration with the municipality of Delta in SW British Columbia, Canada. This study applies a participatory capacity building approach for climate change action at the local level where the sources of emissions and the mechanisms of adaptation reside and where climate change is meaningful to decision-makers and stakeholders alike. The multi-scale scenario approach consists of synthesizing global climate change scenarios, downscaling them to the regional and local level, and finally visualizing alternative climate scenarios out to 2100 in 3D views of familiar, local places. We critically discuss the scenarios produced and the strengths and weaknesses of the approach applied. |
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Keywords: | Global to local downscaling Climate change communication Participatory scenario development Visualization Local climate change impacts and responses Decision support |
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