| 基于RS和GIS的地质灾害易发性定量评价:以湖北省五峰县为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 林春泽, 王宁涛, 王清, 谭建民, 连志鹏. 2018: 降雨型滑坡地质灾害预警预报研究进展. 暴雨灾害, 37(5): 393-400. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2018.05.001 |
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| 作者姓名： | 林春泽 王宁涛 王清 谭建民 连志鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 暴雨监测预警湖北省重点实验室, 武汉 430205;2.中国地质调查局武汉地质调查中心 中南地质科技创新中心, 武汉 430502 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学青年基金项目（41401607） |
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| 摘 要： | 为了提高我国不同区域、不同气候条件下受降雨影响产生的滑坡地质灾害预警预报水平，通过对近30 a国内外降雨型滑坡地质灾害预警预报主要研究成果的回顾，总结其预警预报的相关方法和手段，重点分析了在降雨型滑坡地质灾害预警预报研究与业务中常用的三类方法（即数学统计分析法、理论模型评价法、数值模拟法）的优缺点与适用范围，以期为今后国内科研业务人员开展降雨型滑坡地质灾害预警预报研究和业务工作提供参考依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 滑坡 降雨 数学统计分析法 理论模型评价法 数值模拟法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-07-19 |
Assessment of failure susceptibility of soil slopes using fuzzy logic |
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| LIN Chunze, WANG Ningtao, WANG Qing, TAN Jianming, LIAN Zhipeng. 2018: Research progress in early warning and forecast of rainfall-typed landslide geological hazards. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 37(5): 393-400. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2018.05.001 |
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| Authors: | LIN Chunze WANG Ningtao WANG Qing TAN Jianming LIAN Zhipeng |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Hubei Key Laboratory for Heavy Rain Monitoring and Warning Research, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan 430205;2.Wuhan Center of China Geological Survey/Geological Science & Technology Innovation Center of Central South China, Wuhan 430205 |
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| Abstract: | In order to improve the early warning and forecast level for landslide geological hazards induced by rainfall in different regions and climate areas in China, we have systematically reviewed the main research progress in the early warning and forecast of rainfall-typed landslide geological hazards at home and aboard in the past 30 years, and those related technologies and methods are summarized. In this paper, we have emphatically discussed the merits, demerits and application limits of the three often-used methods in the research and operation on the early warning and forecast of rainfall-typed landslide geological hazards, including mathematical statistical analysis, theoretical model evaluation, and numerical simulation. The objective of this review is to provide a reference for scientific research personnel and forecasters at home in the future to carry out the early warning and forecast of rainfall-typed landslide geological hazards. |
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| Keywords: | landslide rainfall mathematical statistical analysis theoretical model evaluation numerical simulation |
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