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A multivariate gamma distribution arising from a Markov model
Authors:D Warren
Institution:(1) Mathematics Dept., Lancaster University, LA1 4YF Lancaster, United Kingdom
Abstract:A Markov chain{X t }, which has been useful for modelling in hydrology, can be specified by the Laplace transform (LT) of the conditional p.d.f. ofX t+1 givenX t =x t , which is assumed to be of the lsquoexponentialrsquo formH(theta)exp{-G(theta)x t }. For appropriate choice ofH andG the marginal distribution ofX t is the (univariate) gamma distribution. In this case, the joint p.d.f. ofX t +1,...,X t+n and its LT, are obtained, and this is extended to a seasonal version of the chain. A simple method of generating observations from these multivariate gamma distributions is noted, and the joint LT is applied to the problem of determining moments of weighted sums of such variables.
Keywords:Markov chains  seasonality  multivariate gamma distributions  weighted sums of gammas
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