| 昆明市花粉过敏症预报试验 |
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| 引用本文： | 毕家顺.昆明市花粉过敏症预报试验[J].南京气象学院学报,2004,27(6):856-861. |
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| 作者姓名： | 毕家顺 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南省气象局,气象科技服务中心,云南,昆明,650034 |
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| 基金项目： | 云南省气象科研所"城市环境气象研究"科研基金课题(KJ1998001) |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对昆明城区和郊区2000-2001年花粉观测资料的分析,发现一年中花粉浓度有明显的周期性和季节性。分析了气象要素与空气中飘移花粉的相关关系。在此基础上,利用统计方法,找出了与花粉过敏症相关好的气象因子,建立了花粉过敏症的预报方程;应用医院花粉过敏症的发病率进行验证,同时利用气温、风速、相对湿度对预报值加以订正,使预报结果更接近实际。
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| 关 键 词： | 昆明地区 花粉过敏 气象要素 预报方程 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2022(2004)06-0856-06 |
Forecasting Tests of Pollen-Allergy Disease in Kunming City |
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| BI Jia-shun.Forecasting Tests of Pollen-Allergy Disease in Kunming City[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2004,27(6):856-861. |
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| Authors: | BI Jia-shun |
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| Abstract: | After the analysis of the observed data of pollen in the suburban and urban areas of Kunming city from January 2000 to December 2001,it is found that the periodical and seasonal characteristics of pollen concentration variation in a year are clear.Based on the relation of meteorological elements and pollen concentration in air,a prediction equation of pollen-allergy disease was statistically developed.Then the equation is verified and improved by using the actual incidence of pollen-allergy from hospitals,and humidity,wind speed and temperature.The accuracy of the forecast equation is quiet satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | Kunming city pollen allergy meteorological elements prediction equation |
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