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华南及台湾地区地震活动度异常的研究
引用本文:郭文发,彭美凤.华南及台湾地区地震活动度异常的研究[J].华南地震,1993,13(2):43-49.
作者姓名:郭文发  彭美凤
作者单位:福建省地震局 福州35000 (郭文发),福建省地震局 福州35000(彭美凤)
摘    要:应用谷继成引入的地震活动度S的概念及其计算公式,研究了18次台湾强震、11次华南地区中强震的震前S值随时间的变化。结果表明,震前S值出现低值异常的震例占86%。此外,还对华南及台湾地区六个区域的S值综合预报效能R值进行了计算,事实证明,在本区S值具有一定的预报能力.

关 键 词:地震活动度  预报  R值  地震前兆

ON THE ANOMALY OF SEISMICITY RATE IN SOUTH CHINA AND TAIWAN AREA
Guo Wenfa and Peng Meifeng.ON THE ANOMALY OF SEISMICITY RATE IN SOUTH CHINA AND TAIWAN AREA[J].South China Journal of Seismology,1993,13(2):43-49.
Authors:Guo Wenfa and Peng Meifeng
Abstract:Using the concept ang the calculation formula of seismicity S introduced by Gu Jicheng, this paper studies the variations of S-value with time before 18 strong earthquakes in Taiwan area and 11 moderate-strong earthquakes in South China region. The result shows that low S-value anomaly before the earthquakes is 86%. Moreover, the efficiency of comprehensive prediction, R-value in six zones is also calculated. The result shows that S -value can be used in earthquake prediction.
Keywords:Seismicity  Prediction criteria  R-value
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