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On the freezing precipitation in korea and the basic schemes for its potential prediction
Authors:Sang-Hoon Kwon  Hi-Ryong Byun  Chang-Kyun Park  Hui-Nae Kwon
Abstract:This study aims to improve the forecasting skill for freezing precipitation. A total of 102 freezing precipitation cases were collected in South and North Korea from 2001 onwards. Temperature fields on the ground and in the atmosphere, vertical temperature profiles, geopotential fields, thickness fields and their spatiotemporal variations, and their combinations using the predominant precipitation-type nomograms (P-type nomograms) were classified and investigated to determine whether or not these data could be used as predictors. Results show that 1) the combination of the thicknesses of 1000-850 hPa and 850-700 hPa is recommended for the P-type nomograms for Korea, which is different from that used in the United States in threshold values; 2) 35 out of 72 synoptic situations are possible conditions for freezing precipitation; and 3) 3 groups out of those 35 situations, i.e., the 1000 hPa warmfront group, the mid-level southerly category of 850 hPa, and the mid-layer warm type in the vertical temperature profile, show the greatest frequency. Freezing precipitation occurs only in a small part of a possible area. Therefore, despite the increasing observations in the year-on-year trend, only a few of the cases have been detected. The possibility of observation errors is also one of the biggest problems. Therefore, the need for new equipment, such as a freezing rain detector (FRAD), to detect the phenomenon automatically is required and proposed. A denser observing system of FRADs and an ultra-fine gridded numerical model are suggested as a solution for the prediction of freezing precipitation.
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