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A Forecasting Model of Vector Similarity in Phase Space for Flood and Drought over the Huanghe-Huaihe-Haihe Plain in China
作者姓名:Zhou Jiabin  Wang Yunkuan  Yang Guiying  Wu Jinsheng
作者单位:Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029
摘    要:AForecastingModelofVectorSimilarityinPhaseSpaceforFloodandDroughtovertheHuanghe-Huaihe-HaihePlaininChinaZhouJiabin(周家斌);WangY...

收稿时间:2 August 1993

A forecasting model of vector similarity in phase space for flood and drought over the Huanghe-Huaihe-Haihe Plain in China
Zhou Jiabin,Wang Yunkuan,Yang Guiying,Wu Jinsheng.A forecasting model of vector similarity in phase space for flood and drought over the Huanghe-Huaihe-Haihe Plain in China[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,1994,11(2):224-229.
Authors:Zhou Jiabin  Wang Yunkuan  Yang Guiying  Wu Jinsheng
Institution:Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
Abstract:To represent well the characteristics of temporal and spatial distributions, chart of 3-dekad moving total precipi-tation is proposed in this paper first. Then this kind of chart is expanded in terms of Chebyshev polynomial at irregular grids, and the quantitative representation of precipitation is got. Finally the Chebyshev coefficients are fore-casted by using the forecasting method of vector similarity in phase space proposed by Zhou (1992). Using above mentioned procedures temporal and spatial distributions of precipitation over the Huaaghe-Huaihe-Haihe Plain in China are forecasted.
Keywords:3-dekad moving total precipitation  Chebyshev expansion  Forecasting method  Phase space
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