| 云宵县5月暴雨客观预报模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 赖惠贞 陈荣平 朱昌桂 廖燕珍. 云宵县5月暴雨客观预报模型[J]. 河南气象, 2004, 0(3): 9-11 |
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| 作者姓名： | 赖惠贞 陈荣平 朱昌桂 廖燕珍 |
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| 作者单位： | 云宵县气象局 福建云宵363300(赖惠贞，陈荣平，朱昌桂)，云宵县气象局 福建云宵363300(廖燕珍) |
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| 摘 要： | 采用文献[1]提出的技术模型，研制了云宵县5月暴雨预报方法，建立了4个因子结构简单而天气学意义明了的客观预报模型。经2000～2003年试用，这种基于场量因子的预报模型，未漏报，严格评定的准确率为67％，明显优于主观预报。
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| 关 键 词： | 单站暴雨 滑动分区 展开系数 客观预报 模型 |
Objective Forecast Model for Yunxiao Heavy Rain in May |
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| LAI Hui-zhen,CHEN Rong-ping,ZHU Chang-gui,LIAO Yan-zhen. Objective Forecast Model for Yunxiao Heavy Rain in May[J]. Meteorology Journal of Henan, 2004, 0(3): 9-11 |
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| Authors: | LAI Hui-zhen CHEN Rong-ping ZHU Chang-gui LIAO Yan-zhen |
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| Abstract: | Based on the technical model posed in document [1], forecast method of Yunxiao heavy rain is developed and the objective forecast model which is made up of four simple factors and has clear synoptic significance is put forward. Experiment from 2000 to 2003 shows that the model has achieved a good effect and is obviously superior to the subjective forecast. |
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| Keywords: | Single station heavy rain Running district Developed coefficient |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
