| 改进灰色马尔科夫模型及其在水资源预测中的利用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 冯江浪.改进灰色马尔科夫模型及其在水资源预测中的利用[J].物探化探计算技术,2010,32(1):109-112. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 冯江浪 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 成都理工大学,信息管理学院,四川,成都,610059 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 这里首先对灰色系统理论GM(1,1)模型的算法进行改进,并将改进后的灰色模型与马尔科夫模型结合。通过对灰色系统预测数据的修正,既发挥了灰色系统预测精确的特点,又利用了马尔科夫模型对预测波动性数据准确的优势,对于在任何时间序列上展开的具有一定波动性的数据进行预测,精度更高。
|
| 关 键 词： | 城市生活用水量 灰色系统 马尔科夫 |
IMPROVEMENT OF GRAY MARKOV MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION TO WATER RESOURCES FORECASTING |
| |
| FENG Jiang-lang.IMPROVEMENT OF GRAY MARKOV MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION TO WATER RESOURCES FORECASTING[J].Computing Techniques For Geophysical and Geochemical Exploration,2010,32(1):109-112. |
| |
| Authors: | FENG Jiang-lang |
| |
| Institution: | FENG Jiang-lang(College of Information , Management,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper,we studied the arithmetical improvement of gray system GM(1,1) model,combination the improved gray model of markov's model and the betterment of the data that predicted by gray system.This theses develops the higher precision estimating system,and makes use of Markov's model to estimate fluctuant data.The data on time sequence and fluctuant can be predicted by the method,which got a very high estimate accuracy. |
| |
| Keywords: | city activity water quantity gray system Markov's model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
