Long-term prediction of solar activity |
| |
Affiliation: | 1. Dept. of Mechanical Engineering, Jadavpur University, Kolkata-700032, India;2. Dept. of Applied Electronics & Instrumentation Engineering, Haldia Institute of Technology, Haldia-721657, India;3. Dept.of Computer Science & Electronics, Ramakrishna Mission Vidyamandira, Belur Math, Howrah-711202, India;4. Dept.of Instrumentation & Electronics Engineering, Jadavpur University, Kolkata-700106, India;1. Advanced Science and Technology Research Institute, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou, 535011, Guangxi, China;2. College of Mechanical and Marine Engineering, Beibu Gulf University, Qin Zhou 535011, Guangxi, China;3. College of Electronics and Information Engineering, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, Guangxi, China |
| |
Abstract: | After reviewing the various methods used so far in the long-term prediction of solar activity, we have opted to use methods based on the 80-year period and probability considerations. Our predictions for Cycle No. 21 are: - 1.Maximum of the annual average Wolf number: 54 – 94
- 2.Minimum of the annual average Wolf number: 0 – 4
- 3.Epoch of maximum: first half of 1981 - first half of 1983
- 4.Epoch of minimum: first half of 1976 - first half of 1977
A comparison of our predictions with others is made. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录! |
|