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Impact of climate change on the wheat-growing season over Iran |
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| Authors: | Gholamreza Roshan Ruhollah Oji Sultan Al-Yahyai |
| Institution: | 1. Department of Geography, Golestan University, Gorgan, Iran 2. Department of Geography, University of Modarres, Tehran, Iran 3. Oman National Weather Service, Public Authority for Civil Aviation, Muscat, Oman |
| Abstract: | The objective of this paper is to derive and analyze the present and future climate projections over the region of wheat production over Iran. In addition, the projected future climate fluctuation results will be used to assist the maximum performance of wheat and to be used as the main basis for planning changes in the farming calendar in Iran. Observed climate (temperature and degree day) changes during the period (1951–2009) will be discussed. Projected future changes up to 2100 based on the MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3 compound model was utilized. Furthermore, 18 scenarios were used to derive a single GCM model referred to as the United Kingdom Hadley Center Global Environment Model, which will be used to select the worst, best, and average scenario. |
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