| Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake：Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxi1 Region as on Example |
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| 作者姓名： | Chai Chizhang Zhang Wenxiao Liao Yuhu Xu Wenjun Shen Xuhui Tian Qinjian Wei Kaibo Chen Zhengwei |
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| 作者单位： | [1]SeismologicalBureauofNingxiaHuiAutonomousRegion,Yinchuan750001,China [2]CenterforAnalysisandPrediction,CSB,Beijing100036,China |
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| 摘 要： | Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a.
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| 关 键 词： | 地震危险性 评价 地面破坏 宁夏地区 震级 断层 |
Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake: Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxia Region as an Example |
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| Chai Chizhang ,Zhang Wenxiao ,Liao Yuhu,Xu Wenjun ,Shen Xuhui ,Tian Qinjian ,Wei Kaibo ,Chen Zhengwei.Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake: Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxia Region as an Example[J].Earthquake Research in China,2002,16(1):60-70. |
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| Authors: | Chai Chizhang Zhang Wenxiao Liao Yuhua Xu Wenjun Shen Xuhui Tian Qinjian Wei Kaibo and Chen Zhengwei |
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| Institution: | [1]Seismological Bureauof Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Yinchuan 750001,China;[1]Seismological Bureauof Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Yinchuan 750001,China;[1]Seismological Bureauof Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Yinchuan 750001,China;[1]Seismological Bureauof Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Yinchuan 750001,China;[2]Center for Analysisand Prediction,CSB,Beijing 100036,China;[2]Center for Analysisand Prediction,CSB,Beijing 100036,China;[2]Center for Analysisand Prediction,CSB,Beijing 100036,China;[2]Center for Analysisand Prediction,CSB,Beijing 100036,China |
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| Abstract: | |
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| Keywords: | Dangerous probability function Earthquake risk estimation The Lingwu fault |
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