Mapping the narrative positions of new political groups under the UNFCCC |
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| Authors: | Andrew Jordan Tim Rayner Heike Schroeder Neil Adger Kevin Anderson Alice Bows |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Environmental Sciences, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UKa.jordan@uea.ac.uk;3. School of Environmental Sciences, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;4. School of International Development, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;5. Department of Geography, University of Exeter, Amory Building, Rennes Drive, Exeter EX4 4RJ, UK;6. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Manchester, Pariser Building, Manchester M13 9PL, UK;7. School of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, University of Manchester, PO Box 88, Manchester M60 1QD, UK;8. Sustainable Consumption Institute, University of Manchester, 188 Waterloo Place, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK;9. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Manchester, Pariser Building, Manchester M13 9PL, UK |
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| Abstract: | Since the mid-1990s, the aim of keeping climate change within 2?°C has become firmly entrenched in policy discourses. In the past few years, the likelihood of achieving it has been increasingly called into question. The debate around what to do with a target that seems less and less achievable is, however, only just beginning. As the UN commences a two-year review of the 2?°C target, this article moves beyond the somewhat binary debates about whether or not it should or will be met, in order to analyse more fully some of the alternative options that have been identified but not fully explored in the existing literature. For the first time, uncertainties, risks, and opportunities associated with four such options are identified and synthesized from the literature. The analysis finds that the significant risks and uncertainties associated with some options may encourage decision makers to recommit to the 2?°C target as the least unattractive course of action. |
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| Keywords: | adaptation policy climate policy global warming governance mitigation policy post-2012 negotiations risk governance two degrees UNFCCC |
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