Heavy-Rain expert-system realized by logical language prolog |
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Authors: | Feng Shuchang Wu Liqing Zhang Wenqian Chen Yongyi |
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Affiliation: | Meteorology Research Institute, Hunan,Meteorology Research Institute, Hunan,Meteorology Research Institute, State Meteorological Administration, Beijing,Beijing Institute of Meteorology, Beijing |
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Abstract: | This article, on the basis of the expert’s analyses and theories of the forecast of heavy-rain, summarizes a variety of the current instruments and methods of forecast and, according to the train of thought of the highrank forecasters, distills their experiences in forecasting heavy-rain into an inference-tree of 106 junctures from which 101 rule-bases are derived. The logical calculation is automatically carried out with our introduced and developed PROLOG, one of the intelligent languages by means of micro-computer. This process adopts the uncertain inferential method based on the theory of fuzzy sets, breaks through the limits of two-value logic and is characteristic of the thinking of human brain. |
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