| 北京市能源系统气候变化脆弱性分析与适应建议 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈莎,向翩翩,姜克隽,王冀. 北京市能源系统气候变化脆弱性分析与适应建议[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2017, 13(6): 614-622. DOI: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.014 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈莎 向翩翩 姜克隽 王冀 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1.北京工业大学环境与能源工程学院区域大气复合污染 北京市重点实验室, 北京 100124;2.国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所, 北京 100038;3.北京市气象局, 北京 100089 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 北京市能源领域适应气候变化能力提升研究（ZHCKT14） |
| |
| 摘 要： | 1951-2014年，北京市年平均气温以0.37℃/10a的速度上升，且热岛效应强度和范围增大。随着北京城市化发展，气候变化给北京市能源系统带来的额外压力也趋于显著。本研究着重分析了气候变化条件下能源系统的脆弱性。研究结果表明，气候变化下北京市能源系统的脆弱性主要表现在高温天气条件下，电力需求负荷超过电力供应系统设计最大负荷；低温条件下，天然气供应短缺；极端天气给能源生产、能源供应和能源运输造成威胁。针对北京市能源系统的脆弱性，借鉴国际经验，提出了北京市能源系统提升气候变化适应能力的短期战略和长期战略，并分别从政策、技术和管理方面提出了短期战略的适应建议。
|
| 关 键 词： | 能源系统 气候变化 脆弱性 适应建议 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-01-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017-03-30 |
Analysis of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptive Suggestions in Energy System in Beijing City |
| |
| Chen Sha,Xiang Pianpian,Jiang Kejun,Wang Ji. Analysis of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptive Suggestions in Energy System in Beijing City[J]. Progressus Inquisitiones DE, 2017, 13(6): 614-622. DOI: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.014 |
| |
| Authors: | Chen Sha Xiang Pianpian Jiang Kejun Wang Ji |
| |
| Affiliation: | 1.Key Laboratory of Regional Air Pollution in Beijing, College of Environment and Energy Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;2.Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, Beijing 100038, China;3.Beijing Meteorological Service, Beijing 100089, China |
| |
| Abstract: | The average annual temperature in Beijing city increased at the rate of 0.37℃ per 10 years, the intensity and range of heat island effect increased during 1951-2014. With the development of economy and society, extra pressure that climate change brings to energy supply system trends to be significant. This study focuses on the vulnerability of energy system under climate change. The vulnerabilities of climate change in the energy sector in Beijing are that electric load of power demand is over maximum load designed for power supply system under high temperature; under the condition of low temperature, natural gas supply is short; energy production, energy supply and energy transport are threatened by extreme weather. According to the vulnerabilities of the energy system of Beijing, combined with the international advanced experience, the key measures and suggestions were put forward in order to enhance the climate change adaptability of energy system in Beijing. |
| |
| Keywords: | energy system climate change vulnerability adaptive suggestions |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气候变化研究进展》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《气候变化研究进展》下载全文 |
|
