| 广西寒露风气候趋势预测概念模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 肖富明. 广西寒露风气候趋势预测概念模型[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2000, 21(Z1): 36-40 |
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| 作者姓名： | 肖富明 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西气候中心,广西,南宁,530022 |
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| 基金项目： | 广西科技厅科研项目，国家科技攻关项目，，96-908-05-07-2，， |
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| 摘 要： | 统计分析了广西寒露风天气的气候概况、寒露风偏早(迟)年份的主要环流特征及其前期环流特征量的变化,发现在偏早年前期北半球副热带高压偏弱,印缅槽偏强,极涡和东亚槽偏西,各主要特征区副热带高压持续出现负距平.对影响广西寒露风的多种因子普查、分析、挑选后组建了逐步回归方程.建立了广西寒露风气候趋势预测概念模型.
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| 关 键 词： | 寒露风 预测 模型 副高 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5191(2000)增刊-0036-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000-02-12 |
The Conceptual Prediction Model Of Climatic Tendency In Cold Dews Wind Weather In Guangxi |
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| XIAO Fu-ming. The Conceptual Prediction Model Of Climatic Tendency In Cold Dews Wind Weather In Guangxi[J]. Journal of Guangxi Meteorology, 2000, 21(Z1): 36-40 |
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| Authors: | XIAO Fu-ming |
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| Abstract: | Statistical analysis on climatic general situation, the main circulation features and circulation evolution feature of cool dews wind weather in the earlier or later period in Guangxi indicate that subtropical high is weak, the Indochina trough is strong, polar vortex and eastern Asia trough are more western-wards than normal in the prior period in earlier years, it is sustained negative anomalies in each main subtropical high field. The conceptual prediction model of climatic tendency in cold dews wind weather in Guangxi is set up after contributing factors was analyzed and step-by-step regression equator was set up. |
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| Keywords: | cold dews wind weather prediction model subtropical high |
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