| 非线性时间序列分析在气候中的应用研究进展 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 彭跃华,于江龙. 非线性时间序列分析在气候中的应用研究进展[J]. 气象, 2009, 35(10): 3-7 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 彭跃华 于江龙 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 解放军理工大学气象学院,南京,211101;中国科学院大气物理研究所
2. 总参气象水文空间天气总站 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 非线性时间序列分析方法在气候领域中的应用主要包括如下三个方面:观测数据处理、气候突变和气候预测.综述众多文献的结果表明,有许多学者为非线性时间序列分析方法在气候领域中的应用做了大量的工作,大部分文章用到了非线性时间序列分析方面较新的方法,几乎每种方法都能在某个方面取得一定的成功.但这些大多是个例的研究,得出的结论有待更多的验证和理论上更系统的阐述;可用于业务预测且可提高预报技巧的方法仍需探求.非线性时间序列分析在气候中的应用还是任重而道远.
|
| 关 键 词： | 非线性 时间序列分析 气候 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-04-23 |
| 修稿时间： | 2009-07-01 |
Research Advances of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis Applying in Climatology |
| |
| Peng Yuehua and Yu Jianglong. Research Advances of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis Applying in Climatology[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 2009, 35(10): 3-7 |
| |
| Authors: | Peng Yuehua and Yu Jianglong |
| |
| Affiliation: | 1.Institute of Meteorology;PLA University of Science and Technology;Nanjing 211101;2.Institute of Atmospheric Physics;Chinese Academy of Sciences;3.Meteorology;Hydrology and Space Weather Terminal Center of General Staff |
| |
| Abstract: | The application of nonlinear time series analysis in climatology mainly includes three aspects as follows:observation data processing,abrupt change of climate and climatological prediction.The results of summarizing many papers show that,a great deal of scholars contribute a lot to the application of nonlinear time series analysis in climatology.Most of the papers have used new methods in nonlinear time series analysis and almost every method can come to the top in some fields.However,they are just results ... |
| |
| Keywords: | nonlinear time series analysis climate |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气象》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《气象》下载全文 |
