| 试论短期气候预测的不确定性 |
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| 引用本文： | 王会军.试论短期气候预测的不确定性[J].气候与环境研究,1997,2(4):333-338. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王会军 |
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| 基金项目： | “九五”国家重中之重项目,攀登项目 |
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| 摘 要： | {{@ convertAbstractHtml(article.abstractinfoCn, "cn")}}
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| 关 键 词： | 气候预测不确定性 |
A Preliminary Study on the Uncertainty of Short-Term Climate Prediction |
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| Wang Huijun.A Preliminary Study on the Uncertainty of Short-Term Climate Prediction[J].Climatic and Environmental Research,1997,2(4):333-338. |
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| Authors: | Wang Huijun |
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| Abstract: | Based on a set of systematic hindcast experiments by IAP and OSU AGCMs and theoratical analysis the uncertainty of short-term climate prediction were studied preliminarily. The paper stressed on the uncertainties induced by atmospheric internal dynamics. The conceptual model of short-term climate predictability were concluded and the preliminary dynamical mechanisms were analysed. Future suggestions of research were proposed in the last. |
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| Keywords: | climate prediction uncertainty |
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