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Estimates of the maximum land-fast ice thickness probable once in 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years
Authors:N E Ivanov  B V Ivanov  O M Andreev
Institution:1. Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, ul. Beringa 38, St. Petersburg, 199397, Russia
Abstract:Presented are the empirical, nonparametric (quantile), parametric, and randomized estimates of the maximum land-fast ice thickness in the Northern Caspian probable once in 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years. The annual maxima of the land-fast ice thickness for the 72-year period from 1937 to 2008 are computed using the one-dimensional thermodynamic model of the sea ice developed at Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute.
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