Technique for estimating the dynamics of water and carbon budgets of a coniferous forest ecosystem

A technique for the estimation of changes in components of the water and carbon budgets of coniferous ecosystems as a result of possible anthropogenic climate changes has been developed. The technique is based on the SWAP model of heat, water, and carbon exchanges in coniferous ecosystems, which was previously developed by the authors, and the MAGICC/SCENGEN generator of climatic scenarios for various regions of the Earth. The technique is used for estimating changes in the evapotranspiration and carbon budget of the developing coniferous forest ecosystem in the Loobos experimental site (the Netherlands) in the 21st century in connection with an increase in the anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere expected in accordance with the IPCC IS92a scenario of the economic, technological, political, and demographic development of human civilization up to 2100.