南京城市低收入居民被迫搬迁后的就业变动及影响因素

依托南京市郊区近千户城市拆迁安置家庭入户调查数据,对城市低收入居民被迫搬迁后的就业变动过程及形成原因开展统计分析,利用生命历程理论构建就业变动纵贯数据库,使用事件史分析模型动态模拟了被迫搬迁后城市低收入居民的就业变动经历,探究其影响因素.研究发现:①90％以上的城市低收入居民被迫搬迁后经历了就业变动,就业变动集中发生在...

Urban Low-income Residents'Employment Changes and Dynamics after Displacement in Nanjing,China

Based on a household survey data of nearly one thousand displaced households in the suburbs of Nanjing, this paper studies their employment changes, and the timing and reasons for their changes, using an event history model. The results show that: 1) More than 90% of low-income urban residents have experienced employment changes after displacement, and the employment changes were concentrated in the first four years after their forced move, with 1.5 changes per capita during the study period. The changes in employment is the result of a combination of factors, which varies across employment changes. 2) Individual socio-economic attributes such as gender, age, education, and commute before and after displacement have significant effects on employment change. Respondents who were older at the time of move, lower in education, female, had a shorter commute before displacement, had a longer commute after displacement, and had worked in a city center the previous year had a greater probability of employment change. 3) Factors such as the late family movement year, more employment opportunities in the community, and the opening of new subway lines have clearly induced individual employment changes. In other words, the availability and accessibility of jobs has a significant impact on employment change. 4) Occupation in the previous year has a significant impact on whether employment changes. Self-employed persons are less likely to experience job changes than staffers, and the former have relatively stable employment. In addition, the number of years the family has stayed on the individual employment has a significant impact. The longer residents stay, the lower the probability of employment change. In other words, the employment status of forced movers tends to become more stable over time.