| 一种夏季强雷雨预报因子的选取方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡迪. 一种夏季强雷雨预报因子的选取方法[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2006, 22(3): 63-65 |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡迪 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国民航武汉空中交通管理中心,武汉,430302 |
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| 摘 要： | 为了提高对武汉天河机场夏季强雷雨天气预报准确率,利用极值剔除法选取了5个预报因子;这些因子分别与中低层大气和地面的温度、湿度等要素有关。将预报结论与天气实况进行对比后发现:极值剔除法所得的预报因子可以有效地减少夏季强雷雨的漏报率。
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| 关 键 词： | 强雷雨 预报因子 极值剔除法 预报方法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-01-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-01-042006-04-24 |
A selection method of forecast factors on summer heavy thunderstorm |
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| HU Di. A selection method of forecast factors on summer heavy thunderstorm[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2006, 22(3): 63-65 |
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| Authors: | HU Di |
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| Affiliation: | Wuhan Air Traffic Management Center of CAAC;Wuhan 430302 |
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| Abstract: | In order to improve the quality of forecasting summer heavy thunderstorm,5 forecast factors were picked with the extrema elimination method.These factors were related respectively to the elements such as air temperature,humidity,wind direction and wind speed.The validation of the forecast results indicated that the ratio of missing report of heavy thunderstorm was decreased effectively. |
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| Keywords: | Heavy thunderstorm Forecast factor Extrema elimination method Forecast method. |
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