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Assessing climate change impacts in the European north
Authors:Manfred A Lange
Institution:(1) Institute for Geophysics, University of Münster, Corrensstrasse 24, 48149 Münster, Germany;(2) Present address: Energy, Environment and Water Research Center, The Cyprus Institute, PO Box 22745, CY 1523 Nicosia, Cyprus
Abstract:Global climate change and its regional manifestation will result in significant impacts in the European North. However, in order to determine the consequences of such impacts, a holistic, integrated assessment is needed. This paper sets the stage for the remainder of this volume by describing an attempt to derive such an assessment for the Barents Sea Region through the EU-funded BALANCE project. The paper explains some of the major methodologies employed in the study. It also provides insight into major results obtained and attempts to answer a number of overarching questions. It will be shown that climate change does present a significant threat to environmental and societal integrity in the study region. However, it will also be shown that stakeholders regard other drivers of future changes (economical, political developments) at least as equally important for their personal lives.
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