我国入境旅游客源与旅游外汇收入的多尺度对比研究——EMD方法的新应用

基于2005—2010年间我国入境旅游客源和旅游外汇收入的月数据,引入处理非平稳时间序列的经验模态分解(EMD)方法,进行两个要素的多尺度分解及对比。研究结果表明:(1)入境旅游客源与旅游外汇收入具有几乎一致的波动周期,分别为3个月、半年、1年及39个月。(2)入境旅游客源并不是旅游外汇收入变化的必要条件。如果外界条件不变,入境旅游客源的变化趋势以3个月周期震荡为主,上升速度极为缓慢;而旅游外汇收入则保持迅速提升,周期性波动并非其主要变化特征。(3)比起盲目吸引入境旅游客源,更应根据区域旅游资源特点与发展基础,寻找旅游业发展中新的增长点,才更具长远意义。     

Job Access and Commute Penalties: Balancing Work and Residence in Los Angeles

There is an ongoing debate about whether minorities and women pay a commute penalty—that is, do these groups commute farther for lower wages than White males? Research based on commuting time has suggested that minority women bear the multiple jeopardy of race and gender in their journey-to-work behavior. The present study re-examines those findings. We show that minority women who commute longer distances have higher earnings. There is a positive or in some cases neutral relationship between distance and earnings. This suggests that we treat the notion of a commute penalty with some caution. However, women still do not earn as much as men and they are relatively if not absolutely disadvantaged in the commuting process. As expected, for women as for men, skill is a major factor in earnings gains, and relying on public transportation negatively affects earnings. In the past decade it has been fashionable to focus on the negative impacts of commuting on women, but the evidence from this study suggests that the shorter commutes by women may be an expression of the way in which families balance work and residence.     

Ethnic concentration and entrepreneurship: the case of African Americans in three US metropolitan areas

Using 2006–2010 American Community Survey data and a multilevel research design, this study examines how the spatial concentration of African Americans within local labor markets is associated with the probability of self-employment and job earnings from business ownership. We find a negative relationship between the spatial concentration of African Americans and their business ownership in Miami, but not in Atlanta. In Detroit, a higher percentage of US-born African Americans in the local labor market is actually associated with a higher probability of business ownership. The relationship between the percentage of African Americans and job earnings also differs across the three study areas. These results suggest that the relationship between racial/ethnic concentration and African American entrepreneurship is highly contingent on the economic conditions and demographic composition of local labor markets.     

中国三大城市化区域劳动力市场结构分割研究

本文考察了长三角、珠三角和京津唐三大城市化区域的中国劳动力市场空间与结构类型。基于劳动力市场分异和分割理论．本研究利用全国综合社会调查数据显示了研究区域内劳动力市场分异分割存在的大量证据。劳动力市场以性别、户口性质、企业所有制等为分异轴线的特征十分明显。文章还进一步指出了中国劳动力市场不仅是由劳动力的供求市场关系来塑造。同时也受制于各种制度性因素的作用。人力资本因素如教育等虽然是中国劳动市场分异的重要因素,但户口等制度性要素仍然严重地塑造着劳动力市场的分割。     

股权再融资、现金流量操纵与盈余管理

盈余管理是当前财务学和会计学研究的核心问题之一。从经营现金流量角度,利用2001—2006年股权再融资上市公司数据,考察了再融资过程中的盈余管理行为。研究表明,上市公司再融资过程中存在着对经营现金流业绩操纵的盈余管理行为,从而导致上市公司再融资后经营现金流业绩普遍下降。同时,检验了对经营现金流业绩操纵的主要手段,如延迟货款支付等。