天王星卫星的星历表计算

根据天王星卫星的运动理论模型（GUST86），建立了一套5颗主要卫星的星历表计算和误差分析程序。对部分高精度卫星观测位置资料进行的O－C计算和分析表明了计算程序的正确性和实用性。     

Astrometric masses of 21 asteroids, and an integrated asteroid ephemeris

We apply the technique of astrometric mass determination to measure the masses of 21 main-belt asteroids; the masses of 9 Metis (1.03 ± 0.24 × 10^-11 M_⊙), 17 Thetis (6.17 ± 0.64 × 10^-13 M_⊙), 19 Fortuna (5.41 ± 0.76 × 10^-12 M_⊙), and 189 Phthia (1.87 ± 0.64 × 10^-14 M_⊙) appear to be new. The resulting bulk porosities of 11 Parthenope (12±4%) and 16 Psyche (46±16%) are smaller than previously-reported values. Empirical expressions modeling bulk density as a function of mean radius are presented for the C and S taxonomic classes. To accurately model the forces on these asteroids during the mass determination process, we created an integrated ephemeris of the 300 large asteroids used in preparing the DE-405 planetary ephemeris; this new BC-405 integrated asteroid ephemeris also appears useful in other high-accuracy applications.     

月面反射器观测位置的高精度预报

本文利用JPL的DE303/LE303星历表建立了一套预报月面反射器相对于地面观测站位置的计算机程序,并对预报精度作了估计,结果表明预报精度达到毫角秒级。     

GPS静态精密单点定位精度实验分析

通过实验分析了静态GPS精密单点定位精度,提出了应用精密单点定位技术进行生产作业时应该注意的几点问题.     

Predictions and observations of events and configurations occurring during the Uranian equinox

The occurrence of the Earth and Sun transits through the equatorial plane of Uranus will bring us the opportunity for observations only possible at that time: mutual events of the satellites, search for new faint satellites and measurement of the thickness of the rings.The predictions of the mutual events need a theoretical model of the motion of the satellites. The calculated occurrences of the occultations and eclipses highly depend on the model since these predictions are very sensitive to the relative positions of the satellites. A difference of 0.05 arcsec in latitude may make an event inexistent and the accuracy of the theoretical models is around 0.1 arcsec.In order to be sure of the occurrence of each event, we made the predictions using three theoretical models: the first one is GUST86 made by Laskar and Jacobson in 1986, the second is GUST06 based on the former model fitted by Emelianov on new observations and the third one is LA06 based on a brand new theory with an accuracy 10 times better than GUST and fitted on recent observations made since 1950.This comparison shows that some events predicted with one model are not predicted using another one. We try to select the events which will occur surely in order to help the observers to catch the best phenomena.The search for new satellites and the measurement of the thickness of the rings are planned by means of observations at the time of the transit of the Earth in the ring plane.     

Numerical integration for the real time production of fundamental ephemerides over a wide time span

A simplified model of the solar system has been developed along with an integration method, enabling to compute planetary and lunar ephemerides to an accuracy better than 1 and 2 milliarcsecs, respectively. On current personal computers, the integration procedure (SOLEX) is fast enough that by using a relatively small ( 20 Kbytes/Cy) database of starting conditions, any epoch in the time interval (up to ±100 Cy) covered by the database can be reached by the integrator in a few seconds. This makes the algorithm convenient for the direct computation of high precision ephemerides over a time span of several millennia.     

An attempt to build a new completely analytical theory of the Uranian satellites: The results achieved and the results to be obtained

An attempt to build a new theory of the main Uranian satellites is being made at the Sternberg Astronomical Institute. The main difference compared to GUST86 theory is that the new theory is planned to be completely analytical. To do this, the secular frequencies of the satellites should be calculated taking into account the secular perturbations of the second order and, partly, of the third order. This allows to improve the secular frequencies and make them more close to those obtained from numerical integration. Nevertheless, discrepancies remain, which indicate that more terms in the analytical development are needed. Some other advantages of the new theory are also discussed.     

Precision of the ephemerides of outer planetary satellites

Ephemerides of planetary satellites are needed to address many problems. These ephemerides are used for subsequent observations. A comparison of the available ephemerides with new observations allows the accuracy of the former to be assessed. However, the precision of the ephemerides must be known a priori when solving the tasks. In this paper we formulate and solve the problem of estimating the precision of the ephemerides of outer planetary satellites derived from observations when applied up to the future moments.The methods of assessing the precision of ephemerides involve producing a set of samples of the same ephemeris inferred from observations with different samples of Monte Carlo generated random errors (RO) superimposed onto it. The statistical parameters of simulated observational errors are based on the results of the reduction of real satellite observations. We compute the deviations of the samples of the ephemeris from the standard ephemeris inferred from real observations and adopt the root-mean-square deviation of the apparent coordinates as the precision of the ephemeris. We also use alternative methods: one based on the matrix of covariances of parameter errors (RP), and another one based on bootstrap samples of observations (BS).We use three methods (RO, RP, and BS) to estimate the precision of the ephemerides of all the 107 outer planetary satellites over the 2010-2020 time interval. The precision of the ephemerides of different satellites varies from 0.05 to 4.0 arcsec. For a number of satellites new observations are of vital importance for maintaining the precision of the ephemerides at a level that would allow identification of satellites during the reduction of observations. For some satellites the precision of their ephemerides is of the order of the sizes of their orbits and such satellites can be considered to have been lost. We show that the method of bootstrap samples (BS) can give doubtful results in the cases where there are few observations, which covered a time interval that is shorter than the orbital period of the satellite.Our results suggest obtaining more precise ephemeris making new observations at the times of maximum estimated errors of the ephemeris.All the inferred estimates of the precision of ephemerides are available from the MULTI-SAT ephemeris server: www.imcce.fr/sat (IMCCE), www.sai.msu.ru/neb/nss/index.htm (SAI).     

海尔－波普彗星的位置与我们的观测策略

根据星历表，本文绘出运行轨道图，分析了百武彗星与海尔－波普彗星的不同，讨论了对后者观测应当考虑的一些问题。     

用月龄历谱法求解西周既望历日及其年代

利用“月龄历谱法”求解16条西周既望材料，1）得出部分西周王年和既望历日的公历日期；2）推论武王克商年的上限为BC1040；3）指出西周既望的月龄并不固定，多在16－20日间，其时历法行丑正。