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1.
为建立高精度的边坡位移预测模型,采用相空间重构(PSR)将边坡位移时间序列数据转换为多维数据,同时构造小波核函数改进的支持向量机模型,建立PSR-WSVM模型并应用于边坡位移预测。将PSR-WSVM模型预测结果与传统支持向量机(SVM)模型、小波支持向量机(WSVM)模型和基于相空间重构的支持向量机(PSR-SVM)模型预测结果进行对比,通过平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对误差百分比(MAPE)和均方根误差(RMSE)3个精度评价指标验证PSR-WSVM模型的可行性。工程实例结果表明,PSR-WSVM模型预测结果的3个精度评价指标都优于另外3种模型,边坡位移预测的精度明显提升。 相似文献
2.
1 IntroductionAccordingtogeologicalstructure ,theGansu Ningxia Qinghaiareabelongstothenortheastmar ginofQinghai Tibetblock .Thisareahasbeenpaidmuchattentionby geo specialistsinChinaandabroadbecauseofitssignificanttectonicmovement,itsintensiveseismicity ,anditsimportanceinearth quakehazardmitigation .IntheDevelopmentPro gramonNationalKeyBasicResearchesundertheProject“MechanismandPredictionofContinentalStrongEarthquakes”,themechanismsofcontinen talstrongearthquakesarestudied ,usinghypo… 相似文献
3.
We consider the evolution of certain low-mass binaries, incorporating models of (a) internal evolution, (b) tidal friction,
(c) dynamo activity driven by an elementary α,Ω dynamo, (d) stellar wind driven by the activity, and (e) magnetic braking
as a consequence of wind and poloidal dynamo-generated magnetic field. In some circumstances the stellar wind is found to
remove mass on a nuclear timescale, as is necessary to explain some observed systems.
We can hope that various uncertainties in the model may be clarified by a careful comparison of the models with such observed
quantities as rotation periods. These are modified by processes (a), (b) and (e). Assuming that stellar evolution is slow,
rotation rate should in some circumstances represent a balance between magnetic braking trying to slow the star down and tidal
friction trying to spin it up. Preliminary attempts are promising, but indicate that some fine tuning is necessary.
When there is a third body present, in an orbit which is inclined but not necessarily of short period, the eccentricity of
a close binary can be strongly modified by ‘Kozai cycles’. We show that this may complicate attempts to account for spin rates
of stars in close binaries. 相似文献
4.
本文提出了一种把经纬度网格点上的气象要素值转化到正方形网格点上的多项式插值方案。对插值方案作了稳定性讨论和定量及定性分析。结果表明,这种插值方案方便可行,而且有广泛适用性。 相似文献
5.
昆仑山口大地震与地形变异常的讨论 总被引:7,自引:5,他引:2
针对昆仑山口大地震,总结了多种地形变(大地测量)手段所显示的异常变化及其时空分布,结果显示:8.1级大震前存在空间尺度大,时间尺度的地形变前兆异常,简要介绍了相关的异常图像,给出了初步解释,并对未来震情的发展进行了探讨,认为近期内强震活动向华北迁移的可能性不大。 相似文献
6.
I. P. Williams 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2003,87(1-2):13-25
The role of tides in deforming and possibly disrupting a secondary body orbiting about a primary body has been known for a considerable time. This was first inspired by the observations of ocean tides on Earth and then seen as playing an important role in the formation and evolution of the Earth–Moon system. Finally, in the beginning of the 20th century it was generally thought to have a significant role in the formation of the solar system through the tidal disruption of the Sun. Here, an overview of the historical developments of the ideas concerned with tidal disruption of a secondary body that can lead to mass loss is given. Some discussion of possible extensions to consider more realistic situations where the secondary body may not be moving on a circular orbit and may not rotate so as to maintain the phase-on configuration to the primary body is also given. 相似文献
7.
D.J. Curtis C.G. Galbraith J.C. Smyth D.B.A. Thompson 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1985,21(1):75-90
The number of black-headed gulls (Larus ridibundus) in the Clyde Estuary is large. In summer the average density has reached 1350 gulls km?2 and in winter 180 gulls km?2. This paper compares prey selection and feeding efficiency in gulls during summer and winter on tidal flats, and considers how seasonal differences may be adaptations to cope with seasonal changes in prey availability.Gross and net rates of energy intake were highest in summer because gulls captured more of the polychaete N. diversicolor than the amphipod C. volutator. In winter, gulls selected for C. volutator and therefore an energetically less profitable diet. Throughout the year gulls selected more C. volutator relative to N. diversicolor than expected on energetic grounds and so apparently did not maximize potential net rate of energy intake.Gulls used three techniques to capture prey and made most intensive use of the ‘crouch’ technique. Crouching gulls attained a much higher net rate of energy intake than ‘upright’ or ‘paddling’ gulls.A log-linear model showed that (a) season, water depth and gull density determined feeding technique and (b) feeding technique and season independently determined foraging success and prey selection. Thus gull density and water depth acted on prey selection through imposed variations in feeding technique.Reasons for gulls selecting energetically unprofitable C. volutator and for the use of several distinct feeding techniques are discussed. 相似文献
8.
Tidal effects on temperature front in the Yellow Sea 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Temperature front (TF) is one of the important features in the Yellow Sea, which forms in spring, thrives in summer, and fades
in autumn as thermocline declines. TF intensity ⋎S
T
⋎ is defined to describe the distribution of TF. Based on the MASNUM wave-tide-circulation coupled model, temperature distribution
in the Yellow Sea was simulated with and without tidal effects. Along 36°N, distribution of TF from the simulated results
are compared with the observations, and a quantitative analysis is introduced to evaluate the tidal effects on the forming
and maintaining processes of the TF. Tidal mixing and the circulation structure adapting to it are the main causes of the
TF.
Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (No. G1999043809) and the National Science Foundation of China (No.
49736190). 相似文献
9.
形变大地测量学的进展、问题与地震预报 总被引:12,自引:7,他引:5
简要概括了形变大地测量学的革命性进展,研讨了它的科学特色、功能和定义以及对地球科学和防灾减灾的推动。形变大地测量学有助于从根本上击破多年来制约地震预报的“瓶颈”,但也存在不少急待解决的问题。着重研讨了在21世纪前10年,形变大地测量学如何依托多年的学科积累并充分受益于人造卫星和数字化等新技术,开展创新性研究和试验以推进地震预报。为此,对当前的研究工作提出了12条科学技术途径。最后对学科名称提出了建议。 相似文献
10.
Th. Pauwels 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1994,59(2):101-127
In this paper we describe a model for the tidal evolution of an orbit-orbit resonance between two satellites of the same planet. We let the system evolve till infinity or until the resonance is destroyed. We find that there are asymptotic values for the eccentricities and inclinations. We list the possible final stages that a resonance can achieve, we give a few examples, and finally we discuss the limitations of the model and its possible applications to real systems. 相似文献