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An important task in modern geostatistics is the assessment and quantification of resource and reserve uncertainty. This uncertainty
is valuable support information for many management decisions. Uncertainty at specific locations and uncertainty in the global
resource is of interest. There are many different methods to build models of uncertainty, including Kriging, Cokriging, and
Inverse Distance. Each method leads to different results. A method is proposed to combine local uncertainties predicted by
different models to obtain a combined measure of uncertainty that combines good features of each alternative. The new estimator
is the overlap of alternate conditional distributions. 相似文献
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渣尔泰山群是华北地台北缘中元古代裂陷槽沉积,主要为一套遭受绿片岩相区域变质的碎屑岩-碳酸盐岩建造。根据岩性、岩相、相序和不整合界面的综合研究,对这套地层进行了详细的层序界面分析和层序划分,识别出Ⅰ型、Ⅱ型和暴露-淹没复合型(Ⅲ型)3种类型层序界面,共划分出1个超层序、2个大层序和7个层序。总结了渣尔泰山群在碎屑滨岸、台缘碳酸盐岩与碎屑岩混积、碳酸盐台地、台前斜坡和陆棚盆地等不同古地理背景下的层序发育模式及其内部构成特征,并探讨了复合海平面变化、构造活动、沉积物供给、古地形等因素对层序形成和演化的控制作用。 相似文献
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The diets of euros or hill kangaroos (Macropus robustus), domestic sheep (Ovis aries) and feral goats (Capra hircus) in hilly, shrub rangeland in southern Australia were examined in a 12-year study. Levels of dietary overlap between these herbivores, their foraging in relation to resource availability, and the potential for competition in different conditions were also examined. The diet of euros was based around grasses. In dry seasons some shrubs were also eaten but in severe drought grass formed more than 80% of their diet. While grass was important to sheep in wetter conditions, they ate much shrub in dry conditions. Feral goats had broad diets but their preference for browse was high. In drought, euros had only a modest dietary overlap with sheep and goats. Data for dietary niche breadths and electivities pointed to only limited competition between the herbivores. 相似文献
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Using results from coupled climate model simulations of the 8.2 ka climate event that produced a cold period over Greenland in agreement with the reconstructed cooling from ice cores, we investigate the typical pattern of climate anomalies (fingerprint) to provide a framework for the interpretation of global proxy data for the 8.2 ka climate event. For this purpose we developed an analysis method that isolates the forced temperature response and provides information on spatial variations in magnitude, timing and duration that characterise the detectable climate event in proxy archives. Our analysis shows that delays in the temperature response to the freshwater forcing are present, mostly in the order of decades (30 a over central Greenland). The North Atlantic Ocean initially cools in response to the freshwater perturbation, followed in certain parts by a warm response. This delay, occurring more than 200 a after the freshwater pulse, hints at an overshoot in the recovery from the freshwater perturbation. The South Atlantic and the Southern Ocean show a warm response reflecting the bipolar seesaw effect. The duration of the simulated event varies for different areas, and the highest probability of recording the event in proxy archives is in the North Atlantic Ocean area north of 40° N. Our results may facilitate the interpretation of proxy archives recording the 8.2 ka event, as they show that timing and duration cannot be assumed to correspond with the timing and duration of the event as recorded in Greenland ice cores. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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矢量专题图与影像专题图的区别在于是否具有影像内容以及矢量要素内容的选取和表示。本文基于Ez Map软件,从制图工艺流程、地理底图、专题要素内容、符号库设计、制图综合、表示方法、数据量和成图周期8个方面比较,详细讨论了矢量专题图与影像专题图编制的异同,指出了影像专题图的一些优势。 相似文献
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李林涛 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2016,74(1):103-113
概述了全球气候模式中云的垂直重叠的处理方法及其辐射物理过程的最新研究进展。从云垂直重叠模型的构造、模型在气候模式中的实现方式,得到与观测一致的云重叠结构所采用的数据和方法、重叠云的辐射传输等方面,给出了针对这一国际研究难点问题的最新研究进展。关于气候模式中云的垂直重叠问题的研究至今已取得了许多成果,表现在:重叠模型上有了更为科学的描述形式(如指数衰减重叠);重叠云的辐射传输也有了更快速的处理方法(如蒙特卡洛独立柱近似)并被广泛应用;连续的三维云遥感观测(如CloudSat/CALIPSO)和云分辨尺度的三维云模式的发展为在气候模式中精确描述云的垂直结构提供了丰富的观测资料和模式数据。但是,气候模式中现有的云重叠结构处理及其辐射传输方法还远不够完善,仍然存在很多没有解决的问题需要在未来进行探索。 相似文献
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黔东南新元古界下江群甲路组沉积特征及其下伏岩体的锆石U-Pb年龄意义 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
黔东南地区的甲路组冲洪积相底砾岩为一套高角度不整合于四堡群变质岩系或侵入该变质岩系的花岗岩体之上的楔状地层。通过对该组大比例尺剖面实测与加密取样鉴定,确定了该地区新元古界下江群甲路组与四堡群变质岩系及刚边花岗岩体之间的沉积超覆关系,在此基础上建立了下江群的沉积演化序列。取自甲路组地层之下的花岗岩的高精度SHRIMP锆石U-Pb年龄为823±12Ma,这一年龄数据与已有的摩天岭花岗岩TIMS锆石U-Pb年龄825.0±2.4相一致,代表了黔东南地区裂谷系沉积超覆的起始年龄。而该区裂谷系沉积超覆的开启年龄略晚于这个时间,研究区内可能缺失1000~820Ma之间与拉伸系(Tonian)大致相当的地层。 相似文献