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1.
ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study is to examine local level spatiotemporal rainfall and temperature variability in drought-prone districts of rural Sidama, Central Rift Valley region of Ethiopia. The study used 129 gridded monthly rainfall and temperature data of 32 years (1983–2014). The gridded rainfall and temperature records were encoded into GIS software and evaluated through different statistical and geospatial techniques. Mann-Kendal rank test and F distribution tests were used to test temporal and spatial statistical significance, respectively, of the data. The analysis revealed that Belg and Kiremt are the main rainfall seasons, constituting 81% of the annual rainfall. Although annual, Kiremt, and Belg rainfall amounts appear to have decreased over time, the decreasing trend is statistically significant only for Belg rainfall records. On the other hand, rainfall standard anomaly results indicated seven droughts of different magnitudes: one extreme, two severe, and four moderate. The study also revealed increasing temperature trends over the years under consideration that are statistically significant. The findings of this study on rainfall contradict other findings obtained around the study area. Thus, climate change adaptations need to focus on location-specific climate data analysis so that the intended adaptive interventions can be successful. 相似文献
2.
Wang Yanhui 《水文研究》1992,6(2):241-251
Black locust (Robina pseudoacacia) has become one of the most important shelter species in the loess area of northwest China. This paper summarizes recent research concerning its hydrological influence, including canopy interception, litter absorption capacity, its effect on rainfall kinetic energy, infiltration rates, surface runoff, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration, and its role in soil conservation. Several predictive models are listed. on the basis of existing results, optimum characteristics for an effective plantation are defined, and problems requiring further research are identified. 相似文献
3.
The summer monsoon season of the year 2006 was highlighted by an unprecedented number of monsoon lows over the central and
the western parts of India, particularly giving widespread rainfall over Gujarat and Rajasthan. Ahmedabad had received 540.2mm
of rainfall in the month of August 2006 against the climatological mean of 219.8mm. The two spells of very heavy rainfall
of 108.4mm and 97.7mm were recorded on 8 and 12 August 2006 respectively. Due to meteorological complexities involved in replicating
the rainfall occurrences over a region, the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF-ARW version) modeling system with two different
cumulus schemes in a nested configuration is chosen for simulating these events. The spatial distributions of large-scale
circulation and moisture fields have been simulated reasonably well in this model, though there are some spatial biases in
the simulated rainfall pattern. The rainfall amount over Ahmedabad has been underestimated by both the cumulus parameterization
schemes. The quantitative validation of the simulated rainfall is done by calculating the categorical skill scores like frequency
bias, threat scores (TS) and equitable threat scores (ETS). In this case the KF scheme has outperformed the GD scheme for
the low precipitation threshold. 相似文献
4.
Mapping susceptibility of rainfall-triggered shallow landslides using a probabilistic approach 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
To prepare a landslide susceptibility map is essential to identify hazardous regions, construct appropriate mitigation facilities,
and plan emergency measures for a region prone to landslides triggered by rainfall. The conventional mapping methods require
much information about past landslides records and contributing terrace and rainfall. They also rely heavily on the quantity
and quality of accessible information and subjectively of the map builder. This paper contributes to a systematic and quantitative
assessment of mapping landslide hazards over a region. Geographical Information System is implemented to retrieve relevant
parameters from data layers, including the spatial distribution of transient fluid pressures, which is estimated using the
TRIGRS program. The factor of safety of each pixel in the study region is calculated analytically. Monte Carlo simulation
of random variables is conducted to process the estimation of fluid pressure and factor of safety for multiple times. The
failure probability of each pixel is thus estimated. These procedures of mapping landslide potential are demonstrated in a
case history. The analysis results reveal a positive correlation between landslide probability and accumulated rainfall. This
approach gives simulation results compared to field records. The location and size of actual landslide are well predicted.
An explanation for some of the inconsistencies is also provided to emphasize the importance of site information on the accuracy
of mapping results. 相似文献
5.
6.
Quantitative basin characterisation to refine debris-flow triggering criteria and processes: an example from the Italian Western Alps 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
This paper investigates rapid channelized debris flow related to rainfalls in small alpine basins. Its goal is to evaluate
and correlate different geological and technical aspects with predisposing and triggering factors that can control these phenomena.
The study area is the upper part of the Susa Valley where 12 small basins were selected. For each of them, lithological, geomorphological,
climatic and technical information were mapped and analysed. Debris-flow triggering conditions, flow and depositional processes
were related to physical characteristics of the basin that can be easily measured and quantified. At least three different
groups of basins were found: G1) basins with one event each 4–6 years, characterised by massive or blocky calcareous rocks,
G2) basins with more than one event per year that show an abundance of layered or sheared fine-grained rocks and G3) basins
with recurrence levels exceeding 10 years, activated only by heavy and prolonged rainfalls, marked by massive or blocky coarse-grained
igneous rocks. Furthermore, important morphometric differences were found. These considerations are useful in terms of hazard
zonation and risk mitigation. 相似文献
7.
Land use change has been recognized throughout the Earth as one of the most important factors influencing the occurrence of rainfall-driven geomorphological processes. However, relating the occurrence of historical soil erosion rates is difficult because of the lack of long-term research projects in river basins. Also, complex models are not adequate to reconstruct erosion rate changes because they require significant input data not always available on long timescales. Given the problems with assessing sediment yield using complex erosion models, the objective of this study is to explore a parsimonious scale-adapted erosion model (ADT) from the original Thornes and Douglas algorithms, which aims at reconstruction of annual net erosion (ANE) upon multisecular timescales. As a test site, the Calore River basin (3015 km2 in southern Italy) provides a peculiar and unique opportunity for modelling erosion responses to climate and land cover changes, where input-data generation and interpretation results were also supported by documented hydrogeomorphological events that occurred before and after land deforestation. In this way, ANEADT-values were reconstructed for the period 1675–2004 by using precipitation indexes, complemented by recent instrumental records, and by using land cover statistics from documented agrarian sources. Pulses of natural sedimentation in the predeforestation period have been related to Vesuvius volcanic activity and changes in rainstorm frequency. After deforestation, the basin system became unstable with sudden fluctuations in the hydrogeomorphological regime contributing significantly to increased erosion and, in turn, sediment transport sequences via river drainage towards the Tyrrhenian coast. 相似文献
8.
Modeling of rainfall-triggered shallow landslide 总被引:5,自引:3,他引:5
By integrating hydrological modeling with the infinite slope stability analysis, a rainfall-triggered shallow landslide model was developed by Iverson (Water Resour Res 36:1897-1910, 2000). In Iverson’s model, the infiltration capacity is assumed to be equivalent to the saturated hydraulic conductivity for finding pressure heads analytically. However, for general infiltration process, the infiltration capacity should vary with time during the period of rain, and the infiltration rate is significantly related to the variable infiltration capacity. To avoid the unrealistically high pressure heads, Iverson employed the beta-line correction by specifying that the simulated pressure heads cannot exceed those given by the beta line. In this study, the suitability of constant infiltration capacity together with the beta-line correction for hydrological modeling and landslide modeling of hillslope subjected to a rainfall is examined. By amending the boundary condition at ground surface of hillslope in Iverson’s model, the modified Iverson’s model with considering general infiltration process is developed to conduct this examination. The results show that the unrealistically high pressure heads from Iverson’s model occur due to the overestimation of infiltration rate induced from the assumption that the infiltration capacity is identical to the saturated hydraulic conductivity. Considering with the general infiltration process, the modified Iverson’s model gives acceptable results. In addition, even though the beta-line correction is applied, the Iverson’s model still produces greater simulated pressure heads and overestimates soil failure potential as compared with the modified Iverson’s model. Therefore, for assessing rainfall-triggered shallow landslide, the use of constant infiltration capacity together with the beta-line correction needs to be replaced by the consideration of general infiltration process. 相似文献
9.
Identifying and quantifying urban recharge: a review 总被引:12,自引:1,他引:12
David N. Lerner 《Hydrogeology Journal》2002,10(1):143-152
The sources of and pathways for groundwater recharge in urban areas are more numerous and complex than in rural environments.
Buildings, roads, and other surface infrastructure combine with man-made drainage networks to change the pathways for precipitation.
Some direct recharge is lost, but additional recharge can occur from storm drainage systems. Large amounts of water are imported
into most cities for supply, distributed through underground pipes, and collected again in sewers or septic tanks. The leaks
from these pipe networks often provide substantial recharge. Sources of recharge in urban areas are identified through piezometry,
chemical signatures, and water balances. All three approaches have problems. Recharge is quantified either by individual components
(direct recharge, water-mains leakage, septic tanks, etc.) or holistically. Working with individual components requires large
amounts of data, much of which is uncertain and is likely to lead to large uncertainties in the final result. Recommended
holistic approaches include the use of groundwater modelling and solute balances, where various types of data are integrated.
Urban recharge remains an under-researched topic, with few high-quality case studies reported in the literature.
Electronic Publication 相似文献
10.
介绍了利用卫星云图资料估算黄河中游面雨量的基本方法:将GMS卫星1h间隔的可风和红外云图作为判别的两个特性进行分类,确定红外光线资料的所有最小值点作为对流核;多参照Negri-Adler的方法,应用斜率参数消除卷云;应用-维云模式确定红外线图上对流核的降水率,层状云降水通过一个温度阈值给出。另外,通过2001年7月26日至28日黄河流域出现的一次较强降雨过程进行应用分析,得出结论--利用卫星云图估算黄河中游地区平均雨量的方法具有很好的实用价值。 相似文献