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1.
利用Logisitic曲线模型和扩展支撑模型对居民可支配收入预测和单项消费预测,以河北省居民的收入及其消费支出为实例,研究了城镇居民和农民的可支配收入分配和单项边际消费倾向,合理建立了预测模型,并理论计算了1999~2003年的通信消费方面的边际消费倾向、预测了2004~2008年通信消费情况。最后,根据预测结果对通信网络建设提出了一些有价值的建议。 相似文献
2.
本文首先对Gamma暴的观测特性和物理过程作了简要的介绍 ,而后 ,对火球模型的相对论流体动力学机制和同步加速辐射机制作了论述。主要工作是 :具体研究火球所抛出壳层的相对论流体动力学演化 ,应用同步加速辐射机制 ,通过由共动坐标系到实验室坐标系的相对论变换 ,得到Gamma暴余辉的光变曲线。对于火球壳层的不同的动力学演化规律 ,各向同性或各向异性的壳层抛出形式 ,以及不同的外部介质环境 ,所得到的光变曲线都各不相同。通过对这些不同的光变曲线的比较 ,明确了Gamma暴余辉的整体的物理演化图象以及各种物理过程在Gamma暴余辉演化过程中所起的作用 ,并从余辉演化的方面进一步理解了Gamma暴的物理本质 相似文献
3.
本文较系统地总结了我国北西部金矿主要类型、矿化特征和金矿时空分布规律,在此基础上划分出4个成矿区、12条成矿带、32条成矿亚带,从而指明了找矿方向,为贯彻“以铀为主,综合找矿,多种经营,搞活地质”的方针,提供了较好的参考资料。 相似文献
4.
The uptake and release of trace metals (Cu, Ni, Zn, Cd, and Co) in estuaries are studied using river and sea end-member waters
and suspended particulate matter (SPM) collected from the Changjiang Estuary, China. The kinetics of adsorption and desorption
were studied in terms of environmental factors (pH, SPM loading, and salinity) and metal concentrations. The uptake of the
metals studied onto SPM occurred mostly within 10 h and reached an asymptotic value within 40 h in the Changjiang Estuary.
As low pH river water flows into the high pH seawater and the water become more alkaline as it approaches to the seaside of
estuary, metals adsorb more on SPM in higher pH water, thus, particulate phase transport of metal become increasingly important
in the seaward side of the estuary. The percentage of adsorption recovery and the distribution coefficients for trace metals
remained to be relatively invariable and a significant reduction only occurred in very high concentrations of metals (>0.1 mg L−1). The general effect of salinity on metal behavior was to decrease the degree of adsorption of Cu, Zn, Cd, Co, and Ni onto
SPM but to increase their adsorption equilibrium pH. The adsorption–desorption kinetics of trace metals were further investigated
using Kurbatov adsorption model. The model appears to be most useful for the metals showing the conservative behavior during
mixing of river and seawater in the estuary. Our work demonstrates that dissolved concentration of trace metals in estuary
can be modeled based on the metal concentration in SPM, pH and salinity using a Kurbatov adsorption model assuming the natural
SPM as a simple surfaced molecule. 相似文献
5.
Regional distribution pattern of groundwater heavy metals resulting from agricultural activities 总被引:18,自引:0,他引:18
Contaminations of groundwater by heavy metals due to agricultural activities are growing recently. The objective of this study
was to evaluate and map regional patterns of heavy metals (Cd, Zn and Cu) in groundwater on a plain with high agricultural
activities. The study was conducted to investigate the concentration of heavy metals and distribution in groundwater in regions
of Shush Danial and Andimeshk aquifers in the southern part of Iran. Presently, groundwater is the only appropriate and widely
used source of drinking water for rural and urban communities in this region. The region covers an area of 1,100 km2 between the Dez and Karkhe rivers, which lead to the Persian Gulf. For this study, the region was divided into four sub-regions
A, B, C and D. Additionally, 168 groundwater samples were collected from 42 water wells during the earlier months of 2004.
The flame atomic absorption spectrometry (AAS-Flame) was used to measure the concentration of heavy metals in water samples
and the Surfer software was used for determination of the contour map of metal distribution. The results demonstrated that
in all of the samples, Cd and Zn concentrations were below the EPA MCLG and EPA secondary standard, respectively. However,
the Cu contents of 4.8 % of all samples were higher than EPA MCL. It is also indicated that the concentrations of metals were
more pronounced at the southern part of the studied region than at the others. The analysis of fertilizers applied for agricultural
activities at this region also indicated that a great majority of the above-mentioned heavy metals were discharged into the
environment. Absence of confining layers, proximity to land surface, excess agricultural activities in the southern part and
groundwater flow direction that is generally from the north to the southern parts in this area make the southern region of
the Shush plain especially vulnerable to pollution by heavy metals than by other contaminants. 相似文献
6.
Landslides pose a serious physical and environmental threat to vulnerable communities living in areas of unplanned housing
on steep slopes in the Caribbean. Some of these communities have, in the past, had to be relocated, at costs of millions of
dollars, because of major slides triggered by tropical storm rainfall. Even so, evidence shows that: (1) risk reduction is
a marginal activity; (2) there has been minimal uptake of hazard maps and vulnerability assessments and (3) there is little
on-the-ground delivery of construction for risk reduction. This article directly addresses these issues by developing a low-cost
approach to the identification of the potential pore pressure changes that trigger such slides we seek to address these three
commentaries directly. A complex 45–60° slope site in St Lucia, West Indies was selected as a pilot for a modelling approach
that uses numerical models (FLAC and CHASM) to verify the need for surface water management to effectively reduce landslide
risk. Following the model confirmation, a series of drains were designed and constructed at the site. Post-construction evidence
indicates the methodology to be sound, in that the site was stable in subsequent 1-in-1 to 1-in-4 year rainfall events. A
critical feature of the approach is that it is community-based from data acquisition through to community members participating
in construction. 相似文献
7.
岩石破坏前后曲线分类及脆-延转换围压研究——蚀变岩常规三轴压缩试验Ⅰ 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
蚀变岩是工程中少见的软弱岩类,在西南某重大水电工程中,蚀变岩处于工程的重要部位,为保证工程的长期稳定性,对蚀变岩力学特性进行了深入全面的试验研究.通过对孔隙度不同的饱水蚀变岩进行系统的常规三轴压缩试验和总结分析,提出了蚀变岩三轴压缩下破坏前应力.应变曲线可分为3大类,破坏后应力-应变曲线亦可分为3大类的形态模式.并得出结论:蚀变岩的破坏类型受围压与孔隙度的共同影响,在给定的12 MPa围压下蚀变岩以脆性破坏为主,只有孔隙度大于16%且围压大于4 MPa时才有可能进入脆-延转换状态,且脆-延转换围压随孔隙度增加而降低,临界状态应力比随孔隙度增大而增加. 相似文献
8.
9.
10.
本文给出了吉尼系数的一般计算公式 ,推导出正态分布的吉尼系数渐进无偏估计 ,并以实例对比了传统的吉尼系数的算法——万分法与本文中提出的估计方法。 相似文献