中国区域成矿研究的若干问题及其与陆-陆碰撞的关系

在中国区域成矿作用研究中 ,遇到诸多重大问题 ,如 :(1)中国东部属于环太平洋地区之一 ,但为什么热液矿床大规模成矿时代不同于环太平洋的新生代 ,而爆发于中生代的燕山期 ?(2 )中国陆区经历了 >3.0Ga的演化 ,为什么大规模成矿作用在东部地区爆发于燕山期 ,西南特提斯成矿域爆发于新生代 ,而西北中亚成矿域爆发于海西期晚期 ?(3)国外不少著名成矿省位于太古宙克拉通内部 ,为什么中国的有色贵金属等热液矿床却集中分布于显生宙造山带内部或其边缘 ?(4)按照绿岩带金矿成矿理论 ,绿岩带型金矿化伴随或尾随于克拉通化 ,形成在太古宙 ,为什么中国绿岩带型金矿却形成在克拉通化后的 2 0多亿年以后的中生代 ?(5 )世界范围内 ,海相油田的重要性远大于陆相 ,为什么中国情况恰相反 ,陆相油田远比海相油藏重要 ?……。笔者认为这些问题彼此相关 ,代表了中国区域成矿的特色 ,其根本原因在于中国陆区不同构造单元经历了晚古生代以来的强烈碰撞事件 ,因此加强研究碰撞造山体制的成岩、成矿、成藏和流体作用是解决这些问题的关键途径。     

香港对大陆的直接投资及其效益探析

近年来，香港对外直接投资发展极为迅速，在发展中国家或地区中遥居首位，在世界上也名列前茅。香港的对外直接投资呈现明显的地域集中性，主要投资地为中国大陆。本文在分析大量数据和资料的基础上，阐述了香港对外直接投资总量变化、区域格局的特点，并分析其对大陆直接投资给香港经济发展和产业结构优化所带来的巨大效益。     

基于机器学习的高精度高分辨率气象因子时空估计

气象变量常作为重要的影响因子出现在环境污染、疾病健康和农业等领域,而高分辨率的气象资料可作为众多研究的基础数据,对推进相关研究的发展意义重大。本文以中国大陆为研究区域,利用2015年824个气象站点的气温、相对湿度和风速3套数据,结合不同的解释变量组合,分别构建了各自的GAM和残差自编码器神经网络（简称残差网络）模型,以10倍交叉验证判断模型是否过拟合。研究结果表明：① GAM和残差网络方法都不存在过拟合问题,同GAM相比,残差网络显著提高了模型预测的精度（3个气象因素的交叉验证CV R²平均提高了0.21,CV RMSE平均降低了37%）,其中相对湿度模型的提升幅度最大（CV R²:0.85 vs. 0.52,CV RMSE:7.53% vs. 13.59%）;② 残差模型的结果较普通克里格插值结果和再分析资料更接近站点观测数据,表明残差网络可作为高分辨率气象数据研制的可靠方法。此外,研究还发现在相对湿度模型中加入臭氧浓度和气温、在风速模型中加入GLDAS风速再分析资料,可提升模型的性能。     

中国大陆及邻区大震的远距离相关现象

本文根据中国大陆及边邻M_(?)≥7.0地震活动的时空特点,讨论了大地震活动的远程关联现象,划分了6个相关地带。根据本文所划分的诸相关地带,可以对所研究地区大地震的活动形势作出大致的估计。     

中国大陆及邻区大震的远距离相关现象

本文根据中国大陆及边邻M_S≥7.0地震活动的时空特点,讨论了大地震活动的远程关联现象,划分了6个相关地带。根据本文所划分的诸相关地带,可以对所研究地区大地震的活动形势作出大致的估计。     

大陆、海洋分布的对称性及成因探讨

通过观察地球表面偶然发现,大陆、海洋的分布有明显的对称特征,地球一侧如为大陆,与其对应的地球的另一侧一定为海洋。依大陆、海洋分布的对称特征为基本论据,从大陆、海洋形成所需物质、物质运移、物质运移能量三大要素入手,分析讨论了大陆、海洋的形成过程,指出大陆、海洋的形成是靠地球内能的作用,形成大陆的物质来自地球另一侧与其对称分布的海洋,软流层是物质运移通道。     

INFLUENCE OF SERIES OF SQUARE GRIDS ON FRACTAL DIMENSIONS—A Case Study of Mountains of China＇s Mainland

MANDELBROT enunciated the uncertainty of the length of a coastline in his paper “How long is the coastline of Britain?” published in Science in 1967. The fractal concept was presented for the first time in that paper and has been applied to many fields ever since. Although fractal dimensions of lots of phenomena were calculated by the box-counting method, the quantitative influence of series of square grids on them is ignored. The issue is systematically discussed as a case study of the mountains of China‘s Mainland in this paper. And some significant conclusions are drawn as follows: 1) Although the fractal character objectively exists in the mountains of China‘s Mainland, and it does not vary with the changes of series of square grids, the fractal dimensions of the mountains of China‘s Mainland are different with these changes. 2) The fractal dimensions of the mountains of China‘s Mainlandvary with the average lengths of sides of series of square grids. The fractal dimension of the mountains of China‘s Mainland is the function of the average length of side of square grid. They conform to the formula D=f(r) (where D is the fractal dimension, and r is the average length of side of square grid). 3) Different dots of data collection can affect the fractal dimension of the mountains of China‘s Mainland. 4) The same range of length of side of square grid and dots of data collection can ensure the comparison of fractal dimensions of the mountains of China‘ s Mainland. The research is helpful to get the more understanding of fractal and fractal dimension, and ensure that the fractal studies would be scientific.     

基于DMSP/OLS稳定夜间灯光数据的中国1995-2008年电力消费量时空动态研究(英文)

Electric power consumption (EPC) is one of the basic indices for evaluating electric power use. Obtaining timely and accurate data on the spatiotemporal dynamics of EPC is crucial for understanding and practical deployment of electric power resources. In this study, an EPC model was developed using stable nighttime lights time-series data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program Operational Linescan System (DMSP/OLS). The model was used to reconstruct the spatial patterns of EPC in Chinese Mainland at the county level from 1995 to 2008. In addition, the spatiotemporal dynamics of EPC were analyzed, and the fol-lowing conclusions were drawn. (1) The EPC model reliably represented the spatiotemporal dynamics of EPC in Chinese Mainland with approximately 70% accuracy. (2) The EPC in most regions of Chinese Mainland was at low to moderate levels, with marked temporal and spatial variations; of high-level EPC, 58.26% was concentrated in eastern China. Six urban agglomerations (Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region, Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou region, Pearl River Delta, Shandong Peninsula, middle-south of Liaoning Province, and Sichuan Basin) accounted for 10.69% of the total area of Chinese Mainland but consumed 39.23% of the electricity. (3) The EPC of most regions in Chinese Mainland increased from 1995 to 2008, and 64% of the mainland area showed a significant increase in EPC. Moderate increases in EPC were found in 61.62% of eastern China and 80.65% of central China from 1995 to 2008, whereas 75.69% of western China showed no significant increase in EPC. Meanwhile, 77.27%, 89.35%, and 66.72% of the Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou region, Pearl River Delta, and Shandong Peninsula, respectively, showed high-speed increases in EPC. Moderate increases in EPC occurred in 71.12% and 72.13% of the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region and middle-south of Liaoning Province, respectively, while no significant increase occurred in 56.34% of the Sichuan Basin.     

基于大地形变测量的中国大陆中长期强震危险区研究

应用GPS、 水准、 重力和跨断层形变观测资料, 在以往研究成果的基础上, 分析中国大陆现今地壳形变场、 重力场变化形态, 分析主要活动断裂带应变积累状态, 识别强闭锁、 高应变积累段, 结合大震对区域应变积累的影响, 估计未来10年尺度中国大陆地区可能发生大地震的危险区域。     

利用广义三角帽方法评估GRACE反演中国大陆地区水储量变化的不确定性

在无真实观测值的情况下,本文利用广义三角帽方法评估了五种GRACE时变重力场模型（CSR、GFZ、GRGS、HUST发布的球谐系数解和JPL发布的Mascon解）反演中国大陆地区2003-2013年水储量变化的不确定性.研究结果表明,CSR、GFZ、JPL、HUST和GRGS反演月水储量变化不确定性的区域平均RMS分别为14.4 mm、26.3 mm、25.3 mm、26.6 mm和56.1 mm,其中GRGS的结果未恢复泄漏信号;在季和年尺度上,模型的不确定性均小于月尺度;扣除周期和趋势信号后,各模型反演结果更为一致.除长江流域外,CSR在13个流域的不确定性均小于其他模型,GRGS反演各流域水储量变化的不确定性通常较大,且可能高估了温带大陆性气候地区水储量的波动;CSR和JPL的不确定性受流域周边水文特征、气候类型、流域面积和形状的影响相对较小,不确定性变化范围分别为2.3~17.1 mm和5.6~22.5 mm,GFZ和HUST受影响较大,不确定性变化范围分别为5.5~35.1 mm和4.0~40.6 mm.本文的研究结果为GRACE产品不确定性评估提供了新的途径,为GRACE时变重力场模型的选取提供参考.