安徽池州铜山铜矿深部找矿实践与启示

铜山铜矿资源储量日益枯竭。危机矿山接替资源勘查中,采用地质、物探综合手段圈定异常区,经深部钻探验证,取得突破。     

World oil: Hotelling depletion or accelerating use?

In theoretical Hotelling-type models of resource depletion, oil use declines monotonically over time to depletion. However, world oil use has been increasing for several years. Can theory and reality be reconciled? The answer is affirmative, if theory is modified to accommodate outward-shifting demand functions that are rising in response to growth in world population and income. Under this assumption, a Hotelling depletion model projects a 50-year period of increasing world oil use before the decline to exhaustion. This holds for both competitive and monopolistic regimes. Hotelling theory has been criticized by Adelman and others, in part because of the unreality of the theoretical projections. By combining the modified Hotelling theory with U.S. Geological Survey resource estimates, the numerical projections seem congruent with Adelman's near-term expectations. Finally, a backstop technology, such as renewable biomass ethanol, introduces a new dimension. Assuming a $2-per-gallon cost for the ethanol, the modified Hotelling theory projects accelerating use of conventional oil until depletion or substitution. Consequently, it does not seem unreasonable to believe that a finite, limited resource of conventional oil is consistent with growing use for several decades. A projected exhaustion in 100 years is consisten with increasing use for 50 years.     

牛顿松弛方法的初值化与试验比较

本文采用一个有限区域数值预报模式，在平衡风和实测风初值的基础上引进和试验了牛顿松弛方法，并同单纯的平衡风初值及实测风初值作了比较，结果发现方法对初始场及总体预报结果均有明显改进。     

正确认识现代企业制度

从分析现代企业制度的含义出发,主要阐明：现有国有企业通过股份制改造并不等于建成了现代企业制度;现有股分制企业在运营中出现的问题不应该归罪于现代企业制度。并从理论和实践两方面进行了论证。     

Factors affecting local permit ownership in Bristol Bay

Since the first limited entry Bristol Bay drift and set gillnet permits were issued in 1975, many local residents have sold their permits to non-resident fishermen. Declining local permit ownership destabilizes the main economic base of the region. Previous studies have documented the decline of locally owned permits and have proposed social and economic hypotheses that could explain why local permit ownership is declining in limited entry fisheries in Alaska. To stem the outward flow of permits, the Bristol Bay Economic Development Corporation operates a Permit Loan Program to assist Bristol Bay watershed residents in buying permits. Despite its generous benefits, it has not reversed the decline in local permit ownership. This paper examines why residents enter or exit the fishery. Hypotheses on permit retention were tested through interviews with Bristol Bay fishery participants. Interviewees indicate stronger cultural and familial ties than economic factors to fishing. As local permit ownership has declined, these ties are being lost, leading to declining interest in the fishery. Commercial fishing is a competitive and costly enterprise. Successful participants in the fisheries, especially the drift gillnet fishery, are financially savvy with supplemental non-fishing income that outcompete residents by catching most of the fish. The Bristol Bay Economic Development Corporation Permit Loan Program appears unable to stop the local loss of permits. There are no obvious ways to expand local permit ownership and retaining local permits remains a major challenge for the region. However, it is important for local residents to participate in the fishery because it keeps communities economically and socially healthy, gives residents access to their local resources and strengthens their voice in managing their local resources.     

有限区域流函数和速度势的3种求解方法在分析台风Bilis暴雨增幅中的比较研究

将有限区域流函数、速度势求解中常用的两种张驰法(即理查逊法和加速利布曼法)与调和—余弦谱展开法(H-C法)进行了比较,理论研究表明:H-C法单独考虑边界影响分量,物理意义明确,且不会丢失边界上的天气系统;从计算上看,H-C法重建的风场能精确还原原始风场,且计算效率明显高于两种张驰法,即收敛更快。通过在台风Bilis(0604)暴雨增幅过程诊断中的应用发现,常用的两种张驰迭代方法在求解有限区域流函数和速度势的问题上效果都不是很好,即:用理查逊法和加速利布曼法计算的流函数和速度势重建的风场与原始风场差别较大,不能准确还原原始风场;用H-C法不仅计算效率高,还原的风场与原始风场差异极小,且不受南边界较强的西南季风涌影响,在暴雨增幅前期能较好地反映与暴雨增幅相关的强辐合信号。因此,可用H-C法计算得到的无辐散风和无旋风对有限区域的天气系统进行更深入的动力结构分析。     

最大准则优化技术在贴体网格中的应用

贴体网格在地质数值模拟中具有广阔的应用前景,为解决贴体网格生成时边界离散问题,提出了最大长度准则和最大面积准则,把曲线逼近和曲面网格优化问题转化为数学优化问题,为求解该问题,提出了改进的单粒子优化算法.试验表明,最大长度准则和最大面积准则的优化效果好于常规方法;以改进的单粒子优化算法求解该问题时,计算效率是智能单粒子优化算法的30倍左右（节点量为200）,从而实现最大长度准则和最大面积准则在贴体网格生成中的应用.针对最大面积准则优化曲面网格不能控制网格步长的情况,提出了限定步长的网格优化算法,使网格步长合理化,并通过实例验证了该算法的有效性.研究成果提供了生成贴体网格时边界优化准则和求解方法,对今后复杂边界的贴体网格生成具有重要意义.     

甘肃省矿产资源及开发利用对策探讨

甘肃省为矿产资源大省之一,本文主要从甘肃省优势矿产资源特征、开发利用现状、对策及开发利用战略等方面进行分析。     

油气资源预测统计模型及其应用

松辽盆地北部的油气勘探程度虽然较高,但仍然有一些尚未发现的油气资源。本文在对预测油气资源的分形分布模型和截断帕雷托(TSP)分布模型两种统计模型进行系统研究的基础上,结合油气藏地质规律,通过预测该区未发现的油(气)田数量及其储量规模分布,认为方法可行,结果供参考,并待实践进一步验证。得出主要结论是:分形分布模型是一种预测油气田数量和储量(资源量)的可靠方法,在勘探程度较高的盆地或区带应用效果较好,而在勘探新区应用则有一定难度;截断帕雷托分布模型相对于分形分布模型不很完善,但应用该模型进行油气资源分布预测受具体盆地地质条件的影响较小,具有应用价值。