Late Quaternary sea‐level change and evolution of Belfast Lough,Northern Ireland: new offshore evidence and implications for sea‐level reconstruction

The interplay of eustatic and isostatic factors causes complex relative sea‐level (RSL) histories, particularly in paraglacial settings. In this context the past record of RSL is important in understanding ice‐sheet history, earth rheology and resulting glacio‐isostatic adjustment. Field data to develop sea‐level reconstructions are often limited to shallow depths and uncertainty exists as to the veracity of modelled sea‐level curves. We use seismic stratigraphy, 39 vibrocores and 26 radiocarbon dates to investigate the deglacial history of Belfast Lough, Northern Ireland, and reconstruct past RSL. A typical sequence of till, glacimarine and Holocene sediments is preserved. Two sea‐level lowstands (both max. ?40 m) are recorded at c. 13.5 and 11.5k cal a bp . Each is followed by a rapid transgression and subsequent periods of RSL stability. The first transgression coincides temporally with a late stage of Meltwater Pulse 1a and the RSL stability occurred between c. 13.0 and c. 12.2k cal a bp (Younger Dryas). The second still/slowstand occurred between c. 10.3 and c. 11.5k cal a bp . Our data provide constraints on the direction and timing of RSL change during deglaciation. Application of the Depth of Closure concept adds an error term to sea‐level reconstructions based on seismic stratigraphic reconstructions.     

渤海湾西岸全新世海面变化

在讨论海面标志点基本定义的基础上,从渤海湾西岸534个原始数据中获得了136个指示高水位、潮间带或低水位的海面变化标志点,并重建了它们的相对海平面时空分布,进而获得了渤海湾西岸全新世相对海平面变化带.约10cal.ka B.P.时,相对海平面变化带达到-25m,以约6m/1000a(即约6mm/a)的平均速率上升,在6cal.ka B.P.前后达到现代海面的高度;6cal.ka B.P.至今,变化带的高度介于+1m～-2m之间,未发现中全新世相对高海面.再搬运海相贝类和陆相泥炭类样品的14C年龄,分别存在约600年和660年的驻留时间.经过驻留时间校正的新海面变化年代学序列,将渤海湾相对海平面达到现代高度的时间点确定为约6cal.ka B.P.,从而与全球海面变化的对比更为准确.渤海湾盆地的长期稳定下沉和沉积自重压实的共同作用,可能抵消了冰川均衡调整(GIA)引起的中全新世数米高的相对高海面.     

基于星载激光测高估计南极冰盖高程变化

利用NSIDC公布的ICESat运行期间的19个任务期的观测数据, 采用重复轨迹分析方法估计近年来南极冰盖高程的时空变化。结果表明,南极大陆冰盖整体上呈现消融趋势,基于不同的GIA模型和ICESat激光测高数据的南极大陆冰盖高程变化的趋势约为 -1.17~-1 cm/a。     

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????????GPS??GRACE??????????????????????????????????????е????????ICE-5G and ICE-3G???????????????????????????????????????????е??????????????????????????????????????????????????仯????????????GRACE?????????????????ICE-5G????????????????????????????????????????????С~20%??????????????????????~40%?????????????????????α???????仯??GPS??GRACE???????????????????????????????????????????????????????Ч??? (~150 km??80%?????) ?????????????????????????~90 km); ????μ?????Ч??????????3.7 × 10²⁰?? Pas ??1.9 × 10²¹?? Pas (90%?????)???????????????????????????С~20%??     

Estimating Sea-Level Allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC

Abstract

Sea-level allowances at 22 tide-gauge sites along the east coast of Canada are determined based on projections of regional sea-level rise for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) and on the statistics of historical tides and storm surges (storm tides). The allowances, which may be used for coastal infrastructure planning, increase with time during the twenty-first century through a combination of mean sea-level rise and the increased uncertainty of future projections with time. The allowances show significant spatial variation, mainly a consequence of strong regionally varying relative sea-level change as a result of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). A methodology is described for replacement of the GIA component of the AR5 projection with global positioning system (GPS) measurements of vertical crustal motion; this significantly decreases allowances in regions where the uncertainty of the GIA models is large. For RCP8.5 with GPS data incorporated and for the 1995–2100 period, the sea-level allowances range from about 0.5?m along the north shore of the Gulf of St. Lawrence to more than 1?m along the coast of Nova Scotia and southern Newfoundland.     

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???????·?????Tongji-GRACE01?????????????????????????????????????????????+??????????????????????????GIA????????????仯??????????GIA??????????????仯??????о???????RMS????2003-01??2011-08????????仯???????????-128.2±34.6 Gt/a??Pau-5-AUT??????-177.9±40.2 Gt/a??W&W-4-AUT??????-92.8±31.2 Gt/a??W12a??????     

Determination of Postglacial Land Uplift in Fennoscandia from Leveling, Tide-gauges and Continuous GPS Stations using Least Squares Collocation

Precise leveling, tide-gauge recordings and time series from continuous GPS stations are all sources of information about the ongoing postglacial land uplift in Fennoscandia. This article describes how to gather these three sources of data together in a least-squares collocation adjustment in order to calculate uplift rates, as well as new heights for the benchmarks in the leveling network. The estimated reliability of the resulting uplift model is in general better than 0.4 mm/year, decreasing in areas of fewer data.A smoother and extended version of the land uplift model described here is used in the adjustment of the new height system in Sweden (RH 2000) under the name RH 2000 LU. Later on, the name was changed to NKG2005LU. The Finnish Geodetic Institute (FGI) has decided to use the same model when they calculate their new height system, N2000.     

Laurentia crustal motion observed using TOPEX/POSEIDON radar altimetry over land

A new method to estimate the vertical crustal motion from satellite altimetry over land was developed. The method was tested around Hudson Bay, where the observed vertical motion is largely caused by the incomplete glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) as a result of the Laurentide ice sheet deglaciation since the last glacial maximum (LGM). Decadal (1992–2003) TOPEX/POSEIDON radar altimetry data over land surfaces were used. The results presented here are improved compared to a previous study (Lee, H., Shum, C.K., Kuo, C.Y., Yi, Y., Braun, A., 2008. Application of TOPEX altimetry for solid Earth deformation studies. Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. 19, 37–46. doi:10.3319/TAO.2008.19.1-2.37(SA).) which estimated vertical motion only over relatively flat land surfaces (standard deviation of the height variation <40 cm). In this study, we extended the concept of traditional 1-Hz (one-per-frame) radar altimeter ocean stackfiles to build 10-Hz (10-per-frame) land stackfiles over Hudson Bay land regions, and succeeded in obtaining vertical motion estimates over much rougher surfaces (standard deviation of the height variation <2 m). 90-m C-band Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is used as a reference surface to select an optimal waveform retracker, to correct surface gradient errors, and to calculate land surface anomalies. Here, we developed an alternative retracker, called the modified threshold retracker, resulting in decadal vertical motion time series over a 1500 km by 1000 km region covering northern Ontario, northeastern Manitoba, and the Great Lakes region which is at the margin of the former Laurentide ice sheet. The average of the estimated uncertainties for the vertical motion is 2.9 mm/year which is comparable to 2.1 mm/year of recent GPS solutions. The estimated vertical motion is compared with other geodetic observations from GPS, tide gauge/altimetry, GRACE, and several GIA models. The data agree best with the laterally varying 3D GIA model, RF3S20 (β = 0.4) whereas the combination of land altimetry solution with other measurements match best with the models RF3S20 (β = 0.0) or RF3S20 (β = 0.2) in terms of mean and standard deviation of the differences. It is anticipated that this innovative technique could potentially be used to provide additional constraints for GIA model improvement, and be applied to other geodynamics studies.     

利用卫星重力探测南极冰盖质量变化

针对不同GIA模型在南极地区的改正差异较大,分析了采用不同GIA模型分析得到的南极冰盖融化误差值,研究了南极冰盖质量变化加速度。研究结果表明,扣除IJ05模型影响后,整个南极冰盖质量以(-81.5±4.2)Gt/a的速度和(-12.3±6.5)Gt/a2的加速度融化,对海平面上升贡献分别为(0.23±0.01)mm/a和(0.03±0.02)mm/a2。西南极处于加速融化状态,速度由2003—2008年间的-37.7Gt/a增加至2009—2013年的-156.0Gt/a。东南极冰盖在2009年前处于稳定,2009年后逐渐积累,且积累速度不断增加。2003-2013期间内东南极,西南极冰盖质量变化速度及加速度分别为(28±13.4)Gt/a、(9.8±2.8)Gt/a2、-(108.1±3.5)Gt/a和-(21.1±2.9)Gt/a2,南极冰盖融化主要来自西南极。南极冰盖周年变化影响较强,每年10月左右其质量变化振幅达到最大,半周年变化影响最大在西南极,S2潮波振幅在Ronne冰架附近较大,振幅最大值达到25mm。     

广东全新世海平面重建与冰川均衡调整模型结果的比较

中国广东沿岸作为一个冰川均衡调整(GIA)“远场”地区,按照水动型均衡理论,应存在全新世中期高海平面.本文通过海平面标志物重建了广东古海平面的历史,结果显示出在粤东、粤西与珠江三角洲的海平面历史存在明显的差异.若将海平面历史与GIA模型结果对比,可以看出广东沿岸在全新世以来具有微小的区域性地壳沉降.这种大区域的沉降可归因于华南陆块向南延伸所引起.此外,粤西雷州半岛因新构造运动,于全新世早中期有轻微抬升.珠江三角洲盆地则因断裂构造沉降和沉积物压实作用,重建的中全新世海平面明显低于GIA结果.