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1.
本文提出了一种把经纬度网格点上的气象要素值转化到正方形网格点上的多项式插值方案。对插值方案作了稳定性讨论和定量及定性分析。结果表明,这种插值方案方便可行,而且有广泛适用性。 相似文献
2.
Hari Om Vats 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2006,27(2-3):227-235
Examples of extreme events of solar wind and their effect on geomagnetic conditions are discussed here. It is found that there
are two regimes of high speed solar wind streams with a threshold of ∼ 850 km s-1. Geomagnetic activity enhancement rate (GAER) is defined as an average increase in Ap value per unit average increase in
the peak solar wind velocity (Vp) during the stream. GAER was found to be different in the two regimes of high speed streams
with +ve and-ve IMF. GAER is 0.73 and 0.53 for solar wind streams with +ve and -ve IMF respectively for the extremely high
speed streams (< 850 km s-1). This indicates that streams above the threshold speed with +ve IMF are 1.4 times more effective in enhancing geomagnetic
activity than those with -ve IMF. However, the high speed streams below the threshold with -ve IMF are 1.1 times more effective
in enhancing geomagnetic activity than those with +ve IMF. The violent solar activity period (October–November 2003) of cycle
23 presents a very special case during which many severe and strong effects were seen in the environment of the Earth and
other planets; however, the z-component of IMF (Bz) is mostly positive during this period. The most severe geomagnetic storm
of this cycle occurred when Bz was positive. 相似文献
3.
David P. Bacon Nash’at N. Ahmad Thomas J. Dunn Michael C. Monteith Ananthakrishna Sarma 《Natural Hazards》2008,44(3):317-327
By definition, a crisis is a situation that requires assistance to be managed. Hence, response to a crisis involves the merging
of local and non-local emergency response personnel. In this situation, it is critical that each participant: (1) know the
roles and responsibilities of each of the other participants; (2) know the capabilities of each of the participants; and (3)
have a common basis for action. For many types of natural disasters, this entails having a common operational picture of the unfolding events, including detailed information on the weather, both current and forecasted, that may impact on either
the emergency itself or on response activities. The Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) is a comprehensive package of
hazard prediction models and casualty and damage assessment tools that provides a linkage between a modeled or observed effect
and the attendant consequences for populations, infrastructure, and resources, and, hence, provides the common operational
picture for emergency response. The Operational Multiscale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) is an atmospheric
simulation system that links the latest methods in computational fluid dynamics and high-resolution gridding technologies
with numerical weather prediction to provide specific weather analysis and forecast capability that can be merged into the
geographic information system framework of CATS. This paper documents the problem of emergency response as an end-to-end system
and presents the integrated CATS–OMEGA system as a prototype of such a system that has been used successfully in a number
of different situations. 相似文献
4.
本文从动力学定律出发,推导了一个线性的、具有下垫面温度耦合的大气环流的统计—动力模式,并用该模式对500hPa高度场及1000hPa温度场作1~30天的平均预报试验。模式的预报结果大大优于惯性预报,但耦合与不耦合的结果差别不大。 相似文献
5.
Progress in Scatterometer Application 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
W. Timothy Liu 《Journal of Oceanography》2002,58(1):121-136
Progress in the scientific application of space-based scatterometer data over the past two decades is reviewed. There has
been continuous improvement in coverage, resolution, and accuracy. Besides the traditional applications in weather and ocean-atmosphere
interaction, which are based on ocean surface wind vectors, emerging applications over land and ice are also described. Future
missions and new technology are introduced.
This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
6.
气象灾害每年都有,只是轻重程度不同。就全国和全省范围来说,很少有真正风调雨顺的年份。本文根据1951~1988年38年的气象历史资料及有关政府部门的材料、简报、报道,统计出台风、洪涝、海上大风和强对流等几种主要气象灾害对浙江经济造成损失和伤亡人数。文中对主要气象灾害的特点、一般规律和灾情作了概述,并列出一些典型实例,提出了预防气象灾害的意见。 相似文献
7.
Zhenqiu REN 《Frontiers of Earth Science》2008,2(1):27-30
The global weather of today is growing significantly warmer; this is an indisputable fact. However, the scientific community
has not yet reached consensus on the causes of global warming and its possible consequences. This paper introduces the causes
of global warming and summarizes its results, which both involve a series of huge and complex system issues. Our top priority
is to pinpoint the main reason and the interrelated links between causative factors by adopting a macro-approach, or comprehensive
comparison analysis. Its physical mechanism was then determined and its digital model established after quantitative study.
__________
Translated from Green Leaf, 2007, (8): 34–35 [译自: 绿叶] 相似文献
8.
The Florida State University (FSU) multimodel superensemble forecast is evaluated against several other operational weather models for the Southeast Asia region. The superensemble technique has demonstrated its exceptional skills in forecasting precipitation, motion and mass fields compared to either individual global operational or ensemble mean forecasts. The motion field investigation for the season of 2001 reveals that the superensemble forecasts are closer to the observed data compared to the other global member operational models through its low systematic errors at the 850 hPa level. The FSU multimodel superensemble forecasts exhibit the lowest root mean square errors (RSMEs), the highest correlation against the best observed data and the lowest systematic errors compared to the other operational model members. These forecasts have the potential to provide better daily weather predictions over the Southeast Asia region, particularly during the early northeast monsoon that often causes heavy rainfall in the equatorial part of the Southeast Asia region. 相似文献
9.
新疆雷暴天气过程分型 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
对新疆39a雷暴天气资料的普查,得到367次雷暴天气过程,归结出4种天气形势,雷暴天气由冷锋和中尺度高压造成。 相似文献
10.
北京地区3500a来的气候与环境变迁——兼论昆明湖的沧桑 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
通过对北京颐和园昆明湖中沉积物的沉积特征的研究,结合历史记载,对昆明湖水域的形成时间和发展过程有了深入的了解,据此对北京地区3500a以来的气候与环境变迁作出了科学的划分,为探讨北京地区未来的气候变化趋势将会有所启迪。 相似文献