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1.
Prediction of coastal hazards due to climate change is fraught with uncertainty that stems from complexity of coastal systems, estimation of sea level rise, and limitation of available data. In-depth research on coastal modeling is hampered by lack of techniques for handling uncertainty, and the available commercial geographical information systems (GIS) packages have only limited capability of handling uncertain information. Therefore, integrating uncertainty theory with GIS is of practical and theoretical significance. This article presents a GIS-based model that integrates an existing predictive model using a differential approach, random simulation, and fuzzy set theory for predicting geomorphic hazards subject to uncertainty. Coastal hazard is modeled as the combined effects of sea-level induced recession and storm erosion, using grid modeling techniques. The method is described with a case study of Fingal Bay Beach, SE Australia, for which predicted responses to an IPCC standard sea-level rise of 0.86 m and superimposed storm erosion averaged 12 m and 90 m, respectively, with analysis of uncertainty yielding maximum of 52 m and 120 m, respectively. Paradoxically, output uncertainty reduces slightly with simulated increase in random error in the digital elevation model (DEM). This trend implies that the magnitude of modeled uncertainty is not necessarily increased with the uncertainties in the input parameters. Built as a generic tool, the model can be used not only to predict different scenarios of coastal hazard under uncertainties for coastal management, but is also applicable to other fields that involve predictive modeling under uncertainty. 相似文献
2.
A tether management system of a winch module in a marine environment is proposed. For the purpose of this study the subsea body is considered as a mass attached at the free end of a long tether which is wrapped around a circular drum controlled by an external torque. The winch is considered mounted on a heaving platform. The effect of the heaving platform on the motions of the drum, tether and attached mass are studied with respect to the longitudinal vibrations of the tether in one dimension. The hydrodynamic effects are considered on the deployed portion of the tether and the tethered mass, both of which are assumed submerged in otherwise still water. The resulting nonlinear system of equations of motion is developed and solved numerically for an example of a marine tether system. The effect of the tether extensibility on the operation threshold of the system is identified. Comparison with an inextensible tether case is provided. The numerical results and their analysis for the retrieval/deployment of the system are presented. 相似文献
3.
Lale BALAS 《中国海洋工程》2001,(4):565-578
The circulation pattern and the pollutant transport in the Marmaris Bay are simulated by the developed three-dimensional baroclinic model. The Marmaris Bay is located at the Mediterranean Sea coast of Turkey. Since the sp ring tidal range is typically 20- 30 cm, the dominant forcing for the circulation and water exchange is due to the wind action. In the Marmaris Bay, there is sea outfall discharging directly into the bay. and that threats the bay water quality significantly. The current patterns in the vicinity of the outfall have been observed by tracking drogues which are moved by currents at different water depths. In the simulations of pollutant transport, the coliforms-counts is used as the tracer. The model provides realistic predictions for the circulation and pollutant transport in the Marmaris Bay. The transport model component predictions well agree with the results of a laboratory model study. 相似文献
4.
5.
Shubhra Goel Shalini Nihar Ranjan Patra 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2006,24(6):1511-1525
Inclined anchors are widely used in a variety of civil engineering problems to resist oblique loads, most relevant being in
transmission towers and in rocks and dams for structural strengthening. In the present study, the breakout resistance of the
inclined anchors in sand has been worked out using limit equilibrium approach. The breakout resistance has been calculated
for different soil friction angles with varying relative depth ratio and anchor inclination. The break out factor increases
continuously with the inclination of the anchor. A comparison of predicted values of break out resistance of anchors by the
proposed analysis with the experimental values as reported by the other researchers showed reasonably good agreement. 相似文献
6.
介绍采用微型短边线形三角控制网、强制归心技术、独立前方交会成功的、高质量、高精度、高效益完成南汽试车跑道精密施工测量,希望能为类似工程测量提供一定的参考。(摘要修改) 相似文献
7.
针对因地基条件复杂或处理不当引起地基不均匀沉降而造成的建筑物倾斜,提出了注浆、抽水、掏土法,对建筑物进行纠偏加固处理,取得了良好的经济效益和社会效益。 相似文献
8.
GPS-RTK在小城市测量中的应用 总被引:14,自引:0,他引:14
叙述了GPS-RTK测量在浙江省丽水市城市首级控制、基本控制、地形测图、施工放样的运用,并且与传统作业方法作了简明扼要的比较,提出了在GPS-RTK运用过程中的一些可行方法。 相似文献
9.
抽放瓦斯定向钻孔施工技术的研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
介绍了抽放瓦斯定向钻孔施工技术的主要设备、钻具及仪器,组合钻具及钻进工艺参数,并通过几个工程实例,说明了该项技术的应用效果。 相似文献
10.
高层建筑物中点恢复的测量方法是在负一层测定该建筑物的中点,再引到四层楼顶,最后重新确定施工放样数据,保证该建筑物的设计要求和施工监测。 相似文献