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1.
Study of the flood control scheduling scheme for the Three Gorges Reservoir in a catastrophic flood 下载免费PDF全文
The Three Gorges Project is the world's largest water conservancy project. According to the design standards for the 1,000‐year flood, flood diversion areas in the Jingjiang reach of the Yangtze River must be utilized to ensure the safety of the Jingjiang area and the city of Wuhan. However, once these areas are used, the economic and life loss in these areas may be very great. Therefore, it is vital to reduce this loss by developing a scheme that reduces the use of the flood diversion areas through flood regulation by the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), under the premise of ensuring the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. For a 1,000‐year flood on the basis of a highly destructive flood in 1954, this paper evaluates scheduling schemes in which flood diversion areas are or are not used. The schemes are simulated based on 2.5‐m resolution reservoir topography and an optimized model of dynamic capacity flood regulation. The simulation results show the following. (a) In accord with the normal flood‐control regulation discharge, the maximum water level above the dam should be not more than 175 m, which ensures the safety of the dam and reservoir area. However, it is necessary to utilize the flood diversion areas within the Jingjiang area, and flood discharge can reach 2.81 billion m3. (b) In the case of relying on the TGR to impound floodwaters independently rather than using the flood diversion areas, the maximum water level above the dam reaches 177.35 m, which is less than the flood check level of 180.4 m to ensure the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. The average increase of the TGR water level in the Chongqing area is not more than 0.11 m, which indicates no significant effect on the upstream reservoir area. Comparing the various scheduling schemes, when the flood diversion areas are not used, it is believed that the TGR can execute safe flood control for a 1,000‐year flood, thereby greatly reducing flood damage. 相似文献
2.
After the survey of pollution sources, a study on surface water quality assessment and forecast is given by means of grey
system method, fuzzy mathematical method and multiple-index method. Based on it, aquatic environment quality features, treatment
measures and environmental strategies of the area are proposed. The quality of aquatic environment of 5 rivers in the Tumen
River area is studied. The results show that the pollution of surface water is serious; water quality of most rivers is between
grade IV and V except the Hunchun River, being higher than grade IV standard; pollution levels of most rivers have been basically
controlled except the of Burhatong River, which is deteriorating gradually. Pollutants of the rivers are comparatively regular,
mainly are SS, COD, BOD, AR-OH, NH3-N. The main pollution trades are chemical fibre industry, pulp and paper making industry and mining industry. If the growth
rate of gross industrial product is higher than 25 percent under the encouraging-model of regional exploitation, the pollutants’
load will overtake the bearing capacity of aquatic environment. Thus some protection program against pollution must be worked
out in order to achieve the harmonious development of economy society and environment.
A project from “Studies on Earlier Stage of Regional Development” of the Chinese Academy of Sciences 相似文献
3.
利用西安数字地震遥测台网记录的数字地震资料,采用P波初动半周期残差法求得1998年7月临猗5.0级地震前后不同路径的Q(品质因子)值变化,发现在地震发生前Q值为87~203,震后Q值为67~164,震前震中区附近出现明显的高Q值异常。结果表明,地震前的高Q值异常可以作为地震预测的一种手段。 相似文献
4.
David P. Bacon Nash’at N. Ahmad Thomas J. Dunn Michael C. Monteith Ananthakrishna Sarma 《Natural Hazards》2008,44(3):317-327
By definition, a crisis is a situation that requires assistance to be managed. Hence, response to a crisis involves the merging
of local and non-local emergency response personnel. In this situation, it is critical that each participant: (1) know the
roles and responsibilities of each of the other participants; (2) know the capabilities of each of the participants; and (3)
have a common basis for action. For many types of natural disasters, this entails having a common operational picture of the unfolding events, including detailed information on the weather, both current and forecasted, that may impact on either
the emergency itself or on response activities. The Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) is a comprehensive package of
hazard prediction models and casualty and damage assessment tools that provides a linkage between a modeled or observed effect
and the attendant consequences for populations, infrastructure, and resources, and, hence, provides the common operational
picture for emergency response. The Operational Multiscale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) is an atmospheric
simulation system that links the latest methods in computational fluid dynamics and high-resolution gridding technologies
with numerical weather prediction to provide specific weather analysis and forecast capability that can be merged into the
geographic information system framework of CATS. This paper documents the problem of emergency response as an end-to-end system
and presents the integrated CATS–OMEGA system as a prototype of such a system that has been used successfully in a number
of different situations. 相似文献
5.
This article describes a unique flood hazard, produced by the dramatic expansion of wetlands in Nelson County, located within
the North American Prairie Pothole Region of North Dakota, USA. There has been an unprecedented increase in the number, average
size, and permanence of prairie wetlands, and a significant increase in the size of a closed lake (Stump Lake) due to a decade-long
wet spell that began in 1993 following a prolonged drying trend. Base-line land cover information from the 1992 USGS National
Land Cover Characterization dataset, and a Landsat TM scene acquired 9 July 2001 are used to assess the growth of the closed
lake and wetland pond surface areas, and to analyze the type and area of various land cover classes inundated between 1992
and 2001. The open water profile in Nelson County changed from one marked by relatively comparable coverage of closed lake
and wetland pond areas in 1992, to one in which wetland open water accounted for the vast majority of total open water in
2001. The bulk of the wetland pond area expansion occurred by displacing existing wetland vegetation and agricultural cropland.
Producers responded to the flood hazard by filing Federal Crop Insurance Corporation (FCIC) claims and enrolling cropland
in the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP), a federal land retirement program. Land taken out of agricultural production has
had an enormous impact upon the agricultural sector that forms the economic base of the rural economy. In 2001 the land taken
out of production due to CRP enrollment and preventive planting claims represented nearly 42% of Nelson County’s 205.2 K ha
base agricultural land. The patterns obtained from this detailed study of Nelson County are likely to be the representative
of the more publicized flood disaster occurring within the Devils Lake Basin of North Dakota. 相似文献
6.
National flood discharge mapping in Austria 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
This article presents the approach and the results of a study in which 30, 100 and 200 year return period flood discharges
were estimated for 26,000 km of Austrian streams. Three guiding principles were adopted: combination of automatic methods
and manual assessments by hydrologists to allow speedy processing and account for the local hydrological situation; combination
of various sources of information including flood peak samples, rainfall data, runoff coefficients and historical flood data;
and involvement of the Hydrographic Services to increase the accuracy and enhance the acceptance of results. The flood discharges
for ungauged catchments were estimated by the Top-kriging approach with manual adjustment to the local flood characteristics.
The adopted combination approach proved to be very efficient both in terms of the project time required and in terms of the
accuracy and acceptability of the estimated flood discharges of given return periods. 相似文献
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