清代云南雨季早晚序列的重建与夏季风变迁

根据以档案为主的历史文献资料逐年进行考订,复原了云南1711~1911年间的雨季早晚序列,并利用多种资料进行了检验。分析表明,云南雨季开始期年际和年代际的波动都较剧烈,还存在年代际尺度以上的长时间尺度波动。雨季开始期从18世纪初逐步转向偏早,19世纪又转向偏迟,到20世纪又偏早,这在一定程度上反映了夏季风的长期变迁。云南雨季开始期存在明显的准3年和11.3年周期,准3年周期可能和El Nino事件的准3年周期有关,11.3年周期明显和太阳活动的11年周期有关。同时发现,El Nino事件对云南雨季的开始期有重要的影响,在El Nino年云南雨季开始期主要为偏迟或正常,但这种影响存在明显减弱的时期,可能意味着ENSO事件对亚洲夏季风的影响存在某种震荡。     

试析腾越海关与近代滇缅贸易

腾越自古就是滇缅贸易的重要口岸,地理位置优越。随着1902年腾越海关的设立,促使近代滇缅贸易发生了重大变化,对滇西社会经济的发展具有深远影响。本文分析了腾越关设立的背景原因、机构沿革和近代滇缅贸易的兴衰,着重分析了腾越关和近代滇缅贸易的特点及影响,认为近代滇缅贸易既有体现帝国主义经济掠夺的一面,也有滇缅双方互补互利的一面。近代滇缅贸易的发展,导致滇西自然经济逐步解体,被纳入资本主义的世界大市场;商品经济有一定发展,商业资本积累,同时带动了资本主义近代工业的缓慢发展。对今天研究滇西经济和口岸开放有参考意义。     

Primary proton spectrum around the knee deduced from the emulsion-chamber data obtained at Mts. Fuji and Kanbala

We have done extensive Monte Carlo simulations using the new simulation codes of CORSIKA and COSMOS to compare with the gamma-family data obtained at Mts. Fuji (3750 m above sea level) and Kanbala (5500 m above sea level). Then, we estimated the primary proton and helium spectra around the knee energy region using a multiple-layered feed-forward neural network as a classifier of primary particle kind. The selection efficiency of proton-induced family events is estimated to be 82%. The flux value of protons at 2×10¹⁵ eV is (5.5±1.5)×10⁻¹⁴ (m⁻² s⁻¹ sr⁻¹ GeV⁻¹). The result suggests heavy-enriched primary composition around the knee region.     

Modelling infiltration enhancement in a tropical urban catchment for improved stormwater management

To mitigate the impacts of impervious surfaces in urban areas, structures such as bioretention systems and permeable pavements have been installed to enhance infiltration in many countries. However, relatively little knowledge is available regarding the performance of such infiltration‐based structures in humid tropical and highly urbanized areas. This study investigates the feasibility of enhancing the infiltration of stormwater in tropical urbanized areas using Singapore as a case study. It first shows that the rainfall depth and intensity are both high, but the time interval between consecutive rainfall event is long in Singapore. It then numerically simulates single‐event local infiltration and finds that the fraction of infiltrated rainfall is actually high. It finally performs catchment‐scale simulations and finds that bioretention systems can enhance infiltration and groundwater recharge particularly during wet periods. However, local mounding of groundwater can be significant and can hinder the performance of those structures. Furthermore, with 5% of catchment area being converted to such structures, the infiltration of the entire catchment is enhanced but still not yet up to the natural level. To increase the overall effectiveness, future studies can look into bioretention systems with underdrain systems. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An empirical method for approximating canopy throughfall

Rainfall replenishes surface and subsurface water but is partially intercepted by a canopy. However, it is challenging to quantify the rainfall passing through the canopy (i.e. throughfall). This study derives simple‐to‐use empirical equations relating throughfall to canopy and rainfall characteristics. Monthly throughfall is calculated by applying a mass balance model on weather data from Singapore; Vancouver, Canada; and Stanford, USA. Regression analysis is then performed on the calculated throughfall with three dependent variables (i.e. maximum canopy storage, average rainfall depth and time interval between two consecutive rainfall in a month) to derive the empirical equations. One local equation is derived for each location using data from that particular location, and one global equation is derived using data from all three locations. The equations are further verified with calculated monthly throughfall from other weather data and actual throughfall field measurements, giving an accuracy of about 80–90%. The global equation is relatively less accurate but is applicable worldwide. Overall, this study provides a global equation through which one can quickly estimate throughfall with only information on the three variables. When additional weather data are available, one can follow the proposed methodology to derive their own equations for better estimates. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Design measures to mitigate the impact of shallow groundwater on hydrologic performance of permeable pavements

Permeable pavements (PPs) are widely implemented in urban areas to mimic natural hydrologic processes through enhancing infiltration, and reducing, delaying, and retaining surface runoff. However, its performance can be affected by shallow groundwater since high soil moisture may inhibit its infiltration and exfiltration. This study built a numerical model, which was calibrated and validated based on laboratory experiment data, to evaluate the water balance and retention of PP in shallow groundwater conditions. It assessed the impacts of shallow groundwater and the hydrologic effectiveness of different PP design measures (i.e., building a PP with a smaller storage depth, implementing an underdrain at different elevations, and installing an impermeable liner) on relieving the impacts. Shallower groundwater led to larger amounts of surface runoff and underdrain flow, and a higher chance of saturating the PP reservoir. The three design measures had both benefits and drawbacks in mimicking natural hydrologic cycle and retaining the performance of PP under extreme conditions (e.g., areas of very shallow groundwater tables and/or extreme rainfalls). A PP with a smaller storage depth resulted in less underdrain flow but was prone to saturation. It is, thus, more recommended for PP with more-permeable subsoils, which can avoid frequent pavement saturation. Although a shallower PP corresponds to a smaller storage volume and shorter hydraulic retention time, it can increase the applicability of PP to shallow groundwater areas, which is beneficial to the regional hydrologic environment. Installing an underdrain generated underdrain flow, which is a burden to the downstream drainage system. However, it significantly reduced the surface runoff and the chance of saturating the PP reservoir, which, thus, is more recommended for PP with less-permeable subsoils. Comparatively, elevating the underdrain is recommended in areas of shallow groundwater because it can reduce the frequency and amount of groundwater-induced underdrain flow. In addition, a higher underdrain together with an impermeable liner can create a storage depth, increase the retention duration, enhance exfiltration and evaporation without increasing the saturation risk.     

城市快速反应系统实验研究

在紧急的情况下，时间是非常重要的，因为几秒之差就会使营救结果截然不同。因此，为营救人员或当事人提供最佳路径，以缩短路途时间就变得非常重要。在ＧＩＳ和ＧＰＳ的支持下，以超图数据结构为基础，为控制台或当事人提供实时导航信息，可有效地减少路途时间。本文探讨了城市快速反应系统，怎样在超图数据结构的支持下，与ＧＩＳ和ＧＰＳ相结合，为系统操作者提供当前的实时位置及有关信息。     

1700—1978年云南山地掌鸠河流域耕地时空演变的网格化重建

基于多源数据资料重建小尺度区域历史时期土地利用/覆盖变化,对深入理解土地利用变化的驱动力机制及其环境和气候效应具有重要意义。本文利用从流域尺度聚落格局演变重建到聚落尺度耕地数量和空间分布重建,再到流域尺度耕地格局重建的思路,以云南山地典型的中小流域为研究区,以历史文献资料、田野考察资料、历史地理学研究成果、档案资料、现代统计资料、地理基础数据为支撑,综合考虑区域自然因素（坡度、海拔高度）、人文因素（人口、政策、农业技术、耕地与居民点距离）,设计了历史时期山地小尺度区域耕地网格化重建模型,重建了1700—1978年具有明确时间和空间属性的网格化耕地格局。结果表明：① 掌鸠河流域的耕地面积近300 a增长6.3倍,垦殖率从1700年的2.1%上升到1978年的15.6%。② 不同地形区的耕地面积差异较为显著,其中山区和半山区的耕地面积最大,且增长速度最快;平坝区和中下游河谷区的耕地面积增长相对平缓,是自然环境、人口、政策和农业技术等因素综合作用的结果。③ 通过总耕地面积和人均耕地面积等对结果进行验证,证明了重建结果的合理性。本文设计的网格化重建模型可以为模拟具有明确时间和空间属性的小尺度区域历史耕地网格化数据集提供参考。     

Modeling fresh water lens damage and recovery on atolls after storm-wave washover

The principal natural source of fresh water on scattered coral atolls throughout the tropical Pacific Ocean is thin unconfined groundwater lenses within islet substrates. Although there are many threats to the viability of atoll fresh water lenses, salinization caused by large storm waves washing over individual atoll islets is poorly understood. In this study, a mathematical modeling approach is used to examine the immediate responses, longer-term behavior, and subsequent (partial) recovery of a Pacific atoll fresh water lens after saline damage caused by cyclone-generated wave washover under different scenarios. Important findings include: (1) the saline plume formed by a washover event mostly migrates downward first through the top coral sand and gravel substrate, but then exits the aquifer to the ocean laterally through the more permeable basement limestone; (2) a lower water table position before the washover event, rather than a longer duration of storm washover, causes more severe damage to the fresh water lens; (3) relatively fresher water can possibly be found as a preserved horizon in the deeper part of an aquifer after disturbance, especially if the fresh water lens extends into the limestone under normal conditions; (4) post-cyclone accumulation of sea water in the central depression (swamp) of an atoll islet prolongs the later stage of fresh water lens recovery.     

《王文韶日记》记载的1867-1872年武汉和长沙地区梅雨特征

根据清代王文韶所著《王文韶日记》中湖北武汉和湖南长沙地区的夏季天气气候记录，重建了1867-1872年夏季武汉和长沙地区的降水序列，并确定其梅雨期的入梅和出梅时间。以此为依据，对上述年份梅雨进行分类，同时与地方志等历史文献进行对比，指出1867年与1872年是典型的梅雨年份，降水相对适中。1868年虽然划作空梅，但可能是非典型梅雨，降水适中或偏多。1869年则是丰梅，降水异常偏多。1870年为早梅雨，夏季降水相对适中。1871年梅雨期偏短，降水偏少，形成旱灾。由此发现，天气日记可以很好地用来复原历史时期梅雨等较长尺度的天气过程， 如对日记进行系统整理，则能更准确地分析梅雨带的年际-年代际的变化过程和区域差异。