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1.
What the Sunspot Record Tells Us About Space Climate 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The records concerning the number, sizes, and positions of sunspots provide a direct means of characterizing solar activity
over nearly 400 years. Sunspot numbers are strongly correlated with modern measures of solar activity including: 10.7-cm radio
flux, total irradiance, X-ray flares, sunspot area, the baseline level of geomagnetic activity, and the flux of galactic cosmic
rays. The Group Sunspot Number provides information on 27 sunspot cycles, far more than any of the modern measures of solar
activity, and enough to provide important details about long-term variations in solar activity or “Space Climate.” The sunspot
record shows: 1) sunspot cycles have periods of 131± 14 months with a normal distribution; 2) sunspot cycles are asymmetric
with a fast rise and slow decline; 3) the rise time from minimum to maximum decreases with cycle amplitude; 4) large amplitude
cycles are preceded by short period cycles; 5) large amplitude cycles are preceded by high minima; 6) although the two hemispheres
remain linked in phase, there are significant asymmetries in the activity in each hemisphere; 7) the rate at which the active
latitudes drift toward the equator is anti-correlated with the cycle period; 8) the rate at which the active latitudes drift
toward the equator is positively correlated with the amplitude of the cycle after the next; 9) there has been a significant
secular increase in the amplitudes of the sunspot cycles since the end of the Maunder Minimum (1715); and 10) there is weak
evidence for a quasi-periodic variation in the sunspot cycle amplitudes with a period of about 90 years. These characteristics
indicate that the next solar cycle should have a maximum smoothed sunspot number of about 145 ± 30 in 2010 while the following
cycle should have a maximum of about 70 ± 30 in 2023. 相似文献
2.
We have developed a method for analytically solving the porous medium flow equation in many different geometries for horizontal (two‐dimensional), homogeneous and isotropic aquifers containing impermeable boundaries and any number of pumping or injection wells located at arbitrary positions within the system. Solutions and results are presented for rectangular and circular aquifers but the method presented here is easily extendible to many geometries. Results are also presented for systems where constant head boundary conditions can be emulated internal to the aquifer boundary. Recommendations for extensions of the present work are briefly discussed. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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In many astrophysical problems, the study of the stability of an atmosphere in the presence of a magnetic field is of importance. In most cases the MHD instabilities of atmospheres are studied by energy principle of Bernsteinet al. (1958). In this paper, a general method for studying the stability of a system subject to MHD equations of conditions has been proposed. This is based on the local potential concept put forward by Glansdorff and Prigogine (1964). The scheme for securing stability criteria has been demonstrated in two particular cases. 相似文献
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The Mangala Valles system is an ∼
∼900 km fluvially carved channel system located southwest of the Tharsis rise and is unique among the martian outflow channels
in that it heads at a linear fracture within the crust as opposed to a collapsed region of chaos as is the case with the circum-Chryse
channels. Mangala Valles is confined within a broad, north–south trending depression, and begins as a single valley measuring
up to 350 km wide that extends northward from a Memnonia Fossae graben, across the southern highlands toward the northern
lowlands. Approximately 600 km downstream, this single valley branches into multiple channels, which ultimately lose their
expression at the dichotomy boundary. Previous investigations of Mangala Vallis suggested that many of the units mapped interior
to the valley were depositional, related to flooding, and that a minimum of two distinct periods of flooding separated by
tens to hundreds of millions of years were required to explain the observed geology. We use infrared and visible images from
the THermal EMission Imaging System (THEMIS), and topographic data from the Mars Orbiting Laser Altimeter (MOLA), to investigate
the nature of the units mapped within Mangala Vallis. We find that the geomorphology of the units, as well as their topographic
and geographic distribution, are consistent with most of them originating from a single assemblage of volcanic flow deposits,
once continuous with volcanic flows to the south of the Memnonia Fossae source graben. These flows resurfaced the broad, north–south
trending depression into which Mangala Vallis formed prior to any fluvial activity. Later flooding scoured and eroded this
volcanic assemblage north of the Mangala source graben, resulting in the present distribution of the units within Mangala
Vallis. Additionally, our observations suggest that a single period of catastrophic flooding, rather than multiple periods
separated by tens to hundreds of millions of years, is consistent with and can plausibly explain the interior geology of Mangala
Vallis. Further, we present a new scenario for the source and delivery of water to the Mangala source graben that models flow
of groundwater through a sub-cryosphere aquifer and up a fracture that cracks the cryosphere and taps this aquifer. The results
of our model indicate that the source graben, locally enlarged to a trough near the head region of Mangala, would have required
less than several days to fill up prior to any spill-over of water to the north. Through estimates of the volume of material
missing from Mangala (13,000–20,000 km3), and calculation of mean discharge rates through the channel system (∼
∼5 × 106 m3 s−1), we estimate that the total duration of fluvial activity through the Mangala Valles was 1–3 months. 相似文献
10.
CO maps of the Bok globule B335 are presented and used to derive its density profile, mass distribution, and rotational velocity structure. It is found that the cloud is in nearly hydrostatic equilibrium with a density profile that varies roughly as r?1 in the core and r?3 in the envelope. The observed rotation is unimportant in the force balance at the present stage of evolution. 相似文献