Water quality in mountain ash forests — separating the impacts of roads from those of logging operations

The purpose of the two catchment studies reported here was to allow the effects on water quality of road use and maintenance to be separated from the effects of a logging operation. In the first project, known as the Myrtle experiment, two small catchments in an old-growth mountain ash (Eucalyptus regnans) forest were chosen for a paired catchment study of the effects on physical and chemical water quality (baseflow and stormflow) of logging under a strict code of practice and with no roads crossing runoff producing areas. In the second project, known as the Road 11 experiment, the effect on sediment production from unsealed forest roads of vehicle use and level of road maintenance was assessed. The Myrtle experiment showed that the harvesting and regeneration operation did not have a major impact on the stream physical or chemical water quality. Increases were detected in turbidity, iron and suspended solids at baseflows, but these were small in absolute terms and of similar magnitude to the measurement error. The stormflow data revealed no significant influence of the logging operation. The suspension of logging during wet weather, the protection of the runoff producing areas with buffer strips and the management of runoff from roads, snig tracks and log landing areas eliminated intrusion of contaminated runoff into the streams, thereby avoiding the adverse effects of logging. The Road 11 study determined that annual sediment production from forest roads was in the range of 50–90 t of sediment per hectare of road surface per year, with approximately two-thirds being suspended sediment and one-third coarse material. The use of gravel reduced sediment production, provided a sufficient depth of material was used. Increasing the level of road maintenance with increasing traffic load controlled sediment production rates, but when maintenance was not increased, sediment production increased by approximately 40%. The results indicate that by identifying the areas that produce runoff it is possible to prevent contaminated runoff reaching the streams. Roads, on the other hand, produce large quantities of sediment, even when well maintained, so careful consideration of their placement and management is paramount.     

Correlated humidity and temperature measurements in the urban atmospheric boundary layer

Summary To investigate the effect of atmospheric turbulence on microwave communication links, temperature and water vapor pressure have been measured and radio refractivity has been computed, during different meteorological conditions, in the atmospheric boundary layer of an urban site. The cospectra between temperature (T) and water vapor pressure (e) have been found to be either negative over the whole range of frequencies, or the low-frequency end of the cospectrum is of opposite sign relative to higher frequency end. In both cases cospectra follow a–5/3 law in the inertial subrange, in agreement with the theoretical predictions. The coherence spectra clearly show that the temperature and humidity fluctuations are highly coherent within the inertial subrange under both convective and stable conditions. The relative contribution ofC _T ² ,C _eT andC _e ² to the real refractive index structure parameterC _n ² is examined and discussed.With 4 Figures     

Use of regionalisation approach to develop fire frequency curves for Victoria,Australia

It is important to perform fire frequency analysis to obtain fire frequency curves (FFC) based on fire intensity at different parts of Victoria. In this paper fire frequency curves (FFCs) were derived based on forest fire danger index (FFDI). FFDI is a measure related to fire initiation, spreading speed and containment difficulty. The mean temperature (T), relative humidity (RH) and areal extent of open water (LC2) during summer months (Dec–Feb) were identified as the most important parameters for assessing the risk of occurrence of bushfire. Based on these parameters, Andrews’ curve equation was applied to 40 selected meteorological stations to identify homogenous stations to form unique clusters. A methodology using peak FFDI from cluster averaged FFDIs was developed by applying Log Pearson Type III (LPIII) distribution to generate FFCs. A total of nine homogeneous clusters across Victoria were identified, and subsequently their FFC’s were developed in order to estimate the regionalised fire occurrence characteristics.     

Short-term droughts forecast using Markov chain model in Victoria,Australia

A comprehensive risk management strategy for dealing with drought should include both short-term and long-term planning. The objective of this paper is to present an early warning method to forecast drought using the Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) and a non-homogeneous Markov chain model. A model such as this is useful for short-term planning. The developed method has been used to forecast droughts at a number of meteorological monitoring stations that have been regionalised into six (6) homogenous clusters with similar drought characteristics based on SPI. The non-homogeneous Markov chain model was used to estimate drought probabilities and drought predictions up to 3 months ahead. The drought severity classes defined using the SPI were computed at a 12-month time scale. The drought probabilities and the predictions were computed for six clusters that depict similar drought characteristics in Victoria, Australia. Overall, the drought severity class predicted was quite similar for all the clusters, with the non-drought class probabilities ranging from 49 to 57 %. For all clusters, the near normal class had a probability of occurrence varying from 27 to 38 %. For the more moderate and severe classes, the probabilities ranged from 2 to 13 % and 3 to 1 %, respectively. The developed model predicted drought situations 1 month ahead reasonably well. However, 2 and 3 months ahead predictions should be used with caution until the models are developed further.

     

Some factors affecting water yield from mountain ash (Eucalyptus regnans) dominated forests in south-east Australia

An experiment in mountain ash forests in Melbourne's water supply catchments in south-east Australia investigated the impact on long-term water yield of reducing forest density. Fifty-four per cent of basal area was removed from a 17 ha catchment (Black Spur 1) by patch cutting, and the patches were regenerated with mountain ash. A 50% reduction was implemented in Black Spur 3, an 8 ha catchment, through uniform thinning. Uniform thinning was shown to be more effective in enhancing streamflow than patch cutting. A streamflow increase of 25–30% (130–150 mm year⁻¹) was observed after treatment in both catchments. Eleven years later, a treatment effect of 15% was still evident in the selectively thinned catchment (Black Spur 3), but the effect had completely decayed in the patch cut catchment (Black Spur 1).

Research by Melbourne Water has established that streamflow is significantly influenced by forest age. It is hypothesised that this relationship, and the observed decay after patch cutting in Black Spur 1, is largely the result of variation in transpiration. To study the relationship between forest age and transpiration in detail, sap velocity was measured over two summers in four mountain ash plots using the heat-pulse method. The trees on these plots were 50, 90, 150 and 230 years old. On days when measurements were made, the mean sap velocity was not significantly different in the 50-, 90- 230-year-old stands, but was significantly smaller by 14% in the 150-year-old stand. Overstorey sapwood area gradually decreased with plot age, and was 57% lower in the 230-year-old plot than in the 50-year-old plot. When combined with the sap velocity measurements, these data indicated that over the six warmest months of the year, transpiration in the 50-year-old plot was 190 mm more than in the 230-year-old plot. These results support a hypothesis that differences in streamflow between 50-year-old and 230-year-old mountain ash forest can largely be accounted for by differences in transpiration. Further heat-pulse studies in young regrowth and in thinned and unthinned 1939 regrowth will be needed if the streamflow changes in Black Spur 1 and Black Spur 3 are to be fully explained.     

Predicting water yield from a mountain ash forest catchment using a terrain analysis based catchment model

The structure, capabilities and performance of a distributed parameter hydrologic model are described. The model, called Topog-Yield, permits a transient analysis of unsaturated-saturated flow and evapotranspiration to be performed across complex terrain using a one-dimensional framework. It is applied to a 0.32 km² mountain ash (Eucalyptus regnans) forest catchment in the central Victorian highlands, Australia. We compare observed and predicted daily runoff values for the site over a continuous 12 year period (1972–1983) when the catchment vegetation was in an undisturbed climax condition. All input parameter values were based on published or measured data, although some variables were adjusted within the range of known variability to yield a best fit between predicted and observed streamflow in the first year of simulation, 1972. Although the model was ‘calibrated’ for the first year, all variables other than climatic inputs remained fixed for the following 11 years. Modelled and observed daily runoff values compare well throughout the period of simulation, despite a wide range of climatic conditions. When modelled daily runoff values were lumped on a monthly basis, the model was able to explain 87% of the variation in observed monthly streamflows over the 12 year period. Modelled annual runoff was within ±5% of observed values for 6 of the 12 years of record. Annual runoff prediction errors exceeded ±10% of observed values in only 2 of the 12 years. By the end of the 12 year simulation, the model had over-predicted runoff by less than 5%. Input data requirements and model results are discussed in the light of a preliminary sensitivity analysis.     

Assessment of fire danger vulnerability using McArthur’s forest and grass fire danger indices

We present a field survey and a number of simulations of the local Persian Gulf tsunami of 19 March 2017 at Bandar Dayyer, Iran, which resulted in one death, five persons missing and significant damage to the port. The field survey defined the inundated area as extending \(\sim\, 40\) km along the coast, with major effects concentrated on an \(\sim\, 8\) km stretch immediately west of Dayyer, a maximum run-up of 3 m and maximum inundation reaching 600 m. In the absence of significant earthquakes on that day, we first test the possibility of generation of a landslide; however, our simulations for legitimate sources fail to reproduce the distribution of run-up along the coast. We prefer the model of a meteorological tsunami, triggered by Proudman resonance with a hypothetical weather front moving at 10 m/s in a NNW azimuth, which could be an ancillary phenomenon to a major shamal wind system present over the Persian Gulf on that day. More detailed simulations of the Dayyer tsunami would require an improved bathymetric grid in the vicinity of the relevant coastal segment.