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1.
Marie Ekström Natasha Kuruppu Robert L. Wilby Hayley J. Fowler Francis H.S. Chiew Suraje Dessai William J. Young 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(1):115-129
Previous climate risk assessments provide important methodological insights into how to derive tractable research questions and the appropriate use of data under uncertainty, as well as identifying steps that benefit from stakeholder involvement. Here we propose the use of a framework for the systematic and objective exploration of climate risk assessments. The matrix facilitates a breakdown of information about aim and context, main results, methodological choices, stakeholder involvement, sources and characteristics of uncertainties and overall weaknesses. We then apply the matrix to three risk assessments in the water sector to explore some methodological strengths and weaknesses of approaches strongly linked to climate model outputs (top-down) versus those that originate from local knowledge of climate exposures (bottom-up), and demonstrate that closer integration with social and physical sciences is more likely to yield robust climate risk assessments. 相似文献
2.
3.
This paper describes the implementation of process-based models reflecting relative groundwater nitrate vulnerability of the
shallow alluvial Lower Savinja Valley (LSV) aquifer in Slovenia. A spatially explicit identification of the potentially vulnerable
priority areas within groundwater bodies at risk from a chemical point of view is being required for cost-effective measures
and monitoring planning. The shallow LSV unconfined aquifer system consists of high-permeable Holocene and middle- to low-permeable
Pleistocene gravel and sand, with a maximum thickness of about 30 m, mainly covered by shallow eutric fluvisoils or variously
deep eutric cambisoil. The hydrogeological parameters, e.g. the depth to the groundwater, hydrological role of the topographic
slope, etc. usually used in different point count schemes are, in the case of the lowland aquifer and shallow groundwater,
spatially very uniform with low variability. Furthermore, the parametric point count methods are generally not able to illustrate
and analyze important physical processes, and validation of the results is difficult and expensive. Instead of a parametric
point count scheme, we experimentally used the Arc-WofE extension for weights-of-evidence (WofE) modelling. All measurement
locations with a concentration higher than the value of 20 mg NO3
− per litre of groundwater have been considered as training points (173), and the three process-based models generalized output
layers of groundwater recharge (GROWA), nitrate leached from the soil profile (SWAT) and groundwater flow velocity (FEFLOW),
served as evidential themes. The technique is based on the Bayesian idea of phenomena occurrences probability before (prior
probability) and after consideration of any evidential themes (posterior probability), which were measured by positive and
negative weights as an indication of the association between a phenomena and a prediction pattern. The response theme values
describe the relative probability that a 100 × 100 m spatial unit will have a groundwater nitrate concentration higher than
the training points’ limit values with regard to prior probability value. The lowest probability of groundwater nitrate occurrence
is in the parts of the LSV aquifer, which are known as anoxic condition areas with very likely denitrification processes.
The cross-validation of the dissolved oxygen and dissolved nitrate response theme confirmed the accuracy of the groundwater
nitrate prediction. The WofE model results very clearly indicate regional groundwater nitrate distribution and enable spatial
prediction of the probability for increased groundwater nitrate concentration in order to plan the groundwater nitrate reduction
measures and optimize the programme for monitoring the effects of these measures. 相似文献
4.
Nenad Grba Aleksandra Šajnović Ksenija Stojanović Vladimir Simić Branimir Jovančićević Goran Roglić Vladisav Erić 《Chemie der Erde / Geochemistry》2014
Sedimentary rocks from the saline formation of the Lopare Basin were investigated. Sediments contain a moderate amount of immature to marginally mature algal organic matter deposited under slightly reducing to anoxic and slightly saline to hypersaline conditions. Almost all of the samples contain β-carotane in a relatively high quantity, and in some, it represents the most abundant compound in the total distribution of hydrocarbons. The objective of the study was to determine the conditions that are favourable to precursors of β-carotene and/or the preservation of the carotenoid hydrocarbon skeleton. Moreover, the dominant transformation pathways of β-carotene under different redox and salinity conditions, which lead to the formation of aromatic carotenoids were defined. 相似文献
5.
Field and laboratory studies of the sulphide-bearing tailings at Laver, northern Sweden, show that the present release of
metals from the tailings is low, especially with regard to Cu. A large part of the Cu released by sulphide oxidation is enriched
in a distinct zone just below the oxidation front. The enrichment zone occurs almost all over the tailings area except in
areas with a shallow groundwater table. The Cu enrichment is caused by formation of covellite and adsorption onto mineral
surfaces. The transport of Zn, Co, Cd, Ni and S seems to be controlled mainly by adsorption. No secondary zone or secondary
minerals containing these metals have been found. Just below the groundwater table, metals are released into solution when
the enrichment zone reaches the groundwater due to the low pH. An increased release of metals, especially Cu, can be expected
in the future, since the enrichment zone is moving towards the groundwater table.
Received: 4 December 1997 · Accepted: 17 December 1998 相似文献
6.
The compositions of arsenopyrite and sphalerite from five Swedish metamorphosed Cu, Zn-sulfide deposits are related to T and P, according to the methods described by Kretschmar and Scott (1976) and Scott (1973). The As/S ratio of arsenopyrite indicates an equilibrium temperature around 400°C for all the deposits studied, whereas the sphalerite barometer shows pressures between 5 and 7 kb. The mineral assemblages of the bedrocks indicate a similar temperature but a lower pressure. A constant fs2 is probably only effective over distances of millimetres or a few centimetres in the samples studied. The fs2 has always been lower in the surrounding rocks than in the ores as indicated by a higher As/S in arsenopyrite, more FeS in sphalerites and the absence of pyrite. 相似文献
7.
Principal components analysis is used to study the chemistry of 639 calcic amphiboles. Eigenvectors representing multiple partial correlation coefficients give various sets of substitutional relationships. The relative significance of each set can be noted by the percent variation of the data it represents. The highest percent variation (36%) is associated with the substitutions $$Si + Mg \rightleftharpoons Al^{IV} + Al^{VI} + Ti + Fe^{3 + } + Fe^{2 + } + Na + K$$ . Other expected substitutions among the ions such as AlIV + Na ? Si, the positive correlation between AlIV and AlVI etc. are shown statistically. The substitution of Al in T 1 and T 2 positions imposes an ordering in the M 1, M 2 and M 3 sites. Variability of OH in the amphiboles is found to be significant. There is no definite correlation between OH and Fe3+ but OH and Ti are positively correlated. Under certain conditions and provided the concentration of AlIV does not change significantly, Fe and Mg may be assumed to mix ideally in the amphibole solid solution. 相似文献
8.
Tom K. Ekström 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1973,38(4):329-338
Hydrothermal syntheses of chlor-hydroxyapatite have been carried out between 300 and 700° C at a constant pressure of 1000
bar. The substitution of OH for Cl varies as a function of the amount of added CaCl2, temperature, and pH. In the main reaction the incorporation of Cl is negligible at 300° C but increases to over 40 mole
percent Cl-apatite at 700° C. A simple X-ray method for determining the Cl/Cl+OH ratio has been developed and this is also
extended to fluorine-bearing chlor-hydroxyapatites. A number of natural chlor-fluorhydroxyapatites are discussed in the light
of the X-ray method and the result of the synthesis. 相似文献
9.
Seismotectonics of the Cyprian Arc 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
10.
James R. Rice Mary Hubbard Andrea Borgia G?ran Ekstr?m S. J. Gibowicz et al. 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1990,52(Z1):81-91
Miscellaneous information 相似文献