A novel index to evaluate discretization methods:A case study of flood susceptibility assessment based on random forest

The selection of a suitable discretization method(DM)to discretize spatially continuous variables(SCVs)is critical in ML-based natural hazard susceptibility assessment.However,few studies start to consider the influence due to the selected DMs and how to efficiently select a suitable DM for each SCV.These issues were well addressed in this study.The information loss rate(ILR),an index based on the informa-tion entropy,seems can be used to select optimal DM for each SCV.However,the ILR fails to show the actual influence of discretization because such index only considers the total amount of information of the discretized variables departing from the original SCV.Facing this issue,we propose an index,infor-mation change rate(ICR),that focuses on the changed amount of information due to the discretization based on each cell,enabling the identification of the optimal DM.We develop a case study with Random Forest(training/testing ratio of 7:3)to assess flood susceptibility in Wanan County,China.The area under the curve-based and susceptibility maps-based approaches were presented to compare the ILR and ICR.The results show the ICR-based optimal DMs are more rational than the ILR-based ones in both cases.Moreover,we observed the ILR values are unnaturally small(＜1％),whereas the ICR values are obviously more in line with general recognition(usually 10％-30％).The above results all demonstrate the superiority of the ICR.We consider this study fills up the existing research gaps,improving the ML-based natural hazard susceptibility assessments.     

A systematic review on approaches and methods used for flood vulnerability assessment: framework for future research

Natural Hazards - Floods have always been associated with widespread devastation and destruction since the emergence of human civilization. The intensity of this disaster has been increasing due to...     

大兴安岭中段索伦地区白音高老组火山岩锆石U-Pb年龄、地球化学特征及构造意义

白音高老组火山岩位于大兴安岭中段科右前旗索伦地区,主要岩性为流纹岩和流纹质晶屑凝灰岩。LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb同位素分析表明,3组样品的锆石U-Pb年龄分别为127±2Ma、133±2Ma和123±1Ma,即白音高老组火山岩形成于133~123Ma,为早白垩世岩浆活动的产物。岩石学和岩石地球化学特征显示,白音高老组火山岩类似于高分异的I型花岗岩,有斜长石和少量角闪石部分熔融残留。锆石的~(176)Hf/~(177)Hf值介于0.282854~0.283026之间,ε_(Hf)(t)为较高的正值,变化于+5.5~+11.5之间,Hf二阶段模式年龄(T_(DM2))为828~439Ma,表明兴安地块地壳的主体增生年代为新元古代—显生宙。通过对比东北地区(以邻区为主)同时代岩浆-构造活动,研究区内白音高老组火山岩形成于伸展构造环境,这种伸展构造环境的形成可能与古太平洋板块俯冲于欧亚大陆之下的弧后伸展环境有关。     

Responses of primary productivity to current and climate changes in the mud area to the southwest of Cheju Island during the past 800 years

The biogenic silica (BSi), total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN) and grain size were analyzed with a gravity core (3250-6) collected from the mud area in the north East China Sea. The average deposition rate of the upper core was about 0.078 cm yr^?1 based on the results of ²¹⁰Pb_ex. The mean grain size increased with depth in general. The frequency distribution of grain size showed that two marked changes of deposition environment occurred at 30 cm and 50 cm depths (about 1550 AD and 1300 AD, respectively). The variations of BSi and TOC indicated two distinct major periods of primary productivity over the past 800 years: a stage of low primary productivity corresponding to weak upwelling and low nutrient input below 30 cm depth (about 1200–1550 AD), and a stage of high primary productivity with strong currents and upwelling above 30 cm depth (about 1550–1950 AD). The stage with high primary productive appeared to be due to the northward-expanded muddy area caused by strong Asian Winter Monsoon and enhanced Yellow Sea Warm Current in winter. In conclusion, the BSi and TOC in the muddy sediments, the symbols of marine primary productivity, can be then used to investigate the evolution history of currents and relative climate change in the offshore areas.     

江西一次大雾天气诊断分析和ECMWF集合预报产品释用

利用常规气象资料,对2013年11月15日出现在江西省北部地区的一次大雾天气过程进行了诊断分析,并利用ECMWF集合预报产品对该大雾天气过程的预报进行了解释应用。诊断结果表明,该次大雾天气过程是一次典型的辐射雾。14日傍晚到夜间,江西省北部地区转处冷高压控制,阴转晴,冷空气和地面辐射共同造成的冷却作用明显;大雾发生时的逆温层高度大约在981 hPa;1—3 m/s的风速有利于形成较厚的冷却层;地面相对湿度大,水汽充足。通过对ECMWF集合预报的气温、地面湿度、地面风速和天空总云量预报产品的释用,可以在大雾出现的前日判断出江西省西北部地区同时满足辐射雾出现4个条件(水汽、晴空辐射冷却、微风、近地层的稳定层结)的概率最大,因此出现大雾的可能性最大;江西其他地区不能同时满足4个条件,出现大雾天气的可能性很小。随着对集合预报产品的不断深入挖掘,可以进一步提高集合预报对大雾等灾害性天气的预报能力。     

Smart anticorrosion coating based on stimuli-responsive micro/nanocontainer: a review

Smart coating for corrosion protection of metal materials(steel,magnesium,aluminum and their alloys) has drawn great attention because of their capacity to prevent crack propagation in the protective coating by releasing functional molecules(healing agents or corrosion inhibitors) on demand from delivery vehicle,that is,micro/nanocontainer made up of a shell and core material or a coating layer,in a controllable manner.Herein,we summarize the recent achievements during the last 10 years in the field of the micro/nanocontainer with different types of stimuli-responsive properties,i.e.,pH,electrochemical potential,redox,aggressive corrosive ions,heat,light,magnetic field,and mechanical impact,for smart anticorrosion coating.The state-of-the-art design and fabrication of micro/nanocontainer are emphasized with detailed examples.     

Spatial distribution and susceptibility analyses of pre-earthquake and coseismic landslides related to the Ms 6.5 earthquake of 2014 in Ludian,Yunan, China

On 3 August 2014, an earthquake struck Ludian County, Yunnan Province, China, which has caused a large number of coseismic landslides. Visual interpretation permitted 284 and 1053 landslides before and after the event to be mapped, respectively. This work attempted to analyse these two kinds of landslides. Conditioning factors, such as slope angle, aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from drainages, intensity and lithology, and the index of Landslide Number Density (LND) were used to describe the spatial distribution of these landslides. Then, the pre-earthquake and coseismic landslide susceptibility maps were produced using the information value model. The areas under curve are 84.73 and 77.05%, for the pre-earthquake and coseismic landslides, respectively. The results show that the LND values as well as the information values of coseismic landslides are larger than those of the pre-earthquake case. This also indicates that this Ludian earthquake has a relatively larger ability to trigger landslides.     

Rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility assessment at the Chongren area (China) using frequency ratio,certainty factor,and index of entropy

The main objective of the study was to evaluate and compare the overall performance of three methods, frequency ratio (FR), certainty factor (CF) and index of entropy (IOE), for rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility mapping at the Chongren area (China) using geographic information system and remote sensing. First, a landslide inventory map for the study area was constructed from field surveys and interpretations of aerial photographs. Second, 15 landslide-related factors such as elevation, slope, aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, stream power index, sediment transport index, topographic wetness index, distance to faults, distance to rivers, distance to roads, landuse, NDVI, lithology and rainfall were prepared for the landslide susceptibility modelling. Using these data, three landslide susceptibility models were constructed using FR, CF and IOE. Finally, these models were validated and compared using known landslide locations and the receiver operating characteristics curve. The result shows that all the models perform well on both the training and validation data. The area under the curve showed that the goodness-of-fit with the training data is 79.12, 80.34 and 80.42% for FR, CF and IOE whereas the prediction power is 80.14, 81.58 and 81.73%, for FR, CF and IOE, respectively. The result of this study may be useful for local government management and land use planning.     

基于广义Winkler弹性地基梁理论的梯形渠道冻胀力学模型

寒区渠道衬砌冻胀破坏现象普遍,而渠道的防冻工程设计大多依赖工程实践经验和定性认识,具有一定的随意性和盲目性,对衬砌结构所受的冻胀力计算缺乏简明、合理的方法。考虑冻土与衬砌的相互作用和冻土地基的连续性,基于广义Winkler地基梁理论并结合有限差分法,推导了渠道衬砌板冻胀挠曲线微分方程,建立了梯形渠道冻胀力学模型,给出了衬砌渠道法向冻胀力及切向冻结力的计算方法。同时,考虑渠道衬砌冻胀破坏的极限承载力以及冻胀过程中坡脚上抬位移对实际冻胀力的削减和释放效应,避免了冻胀力及衬砌结构内力计算值过大。为验证模型的合理性,以甘肃省靖会总干渠梯形渠道为研究对象,对其进行冻胀破坏计算。结果表明：模型由于考虑了衬砌结构与冻土间的相互作用,渠道衬砌板法向冻胀力呈非线性分布,修正了工程力学模型线性分布假设;与工程力学模型相比,冻胀力数值在坡脚处增大、跨中减小、底板上增大,计算结果更符合工程实际。研究提出的冻胀力学模型科学合理,简便快捷,具有更好的通用性,可为寒区渠道的抗冻胀设计提供参考。